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Sunday 11 December 2016

Why and Where to Invest in Pakistan-CPEC


The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) is the top performing market of Asia Pacific at the moment. The China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has created a euphoria in the international investors to get their piece of the pie, and the result is quite visible in the unprecedented bullish trends of Pakistani stock market. However the real pie, lies not in the bonds and stocks, but buying the stakes directly in the CPEC by investing in relevant real estate and industrial projects, which will make the CPEC as successful as envisaged by the Chinese and Pakistani leadership.

The real estate sector on the CPEC with its various multipurpose economic zones, provides an opportunity to small and medium investors and entrepreneurs to make humongous returns on their investments in the short term. The corporate and large investment groups are already in the game, looking to buy real estate on or near the CPEC, preferably in Pakistan and want to establish industrial plans, oil refineries and power projects.

My article aims at advising the entrepreneurs and medium level investment groups to invest in the CPEC related real estate, which will provide tremendous opportunities in the short term. Real estate is the primary prerequisite for any project and buying land where it matters is a universal fact.

CPEC's primary objective is to utilise the Pakistani port of Gawader to export oil from the energy rich Middle East to the energy hungry China. Oil refineries in Pakistan are in business, but at the same time they are not as they do not have the capacity to meet demands greater than the Pakistani domestic market. Therefore the Chinese and other international investors are rushing in to make new oil refineries in Pakistan with billions of dollars in investment. The government of Pakistan have hence earmarked multipurpose economic zones which are cleared to create such oil refineries and associated industries and residential complexes, housing the manpower of these huge industries. These multipurpose economic zones are looking to develop new high tech industrial cities, which promote commerce and trade on the CPEC.

The entrepreneurs willing to invest in these multipurpose economic zone's real estate and that of the routes leading to these zones and connecting them with the existing major lines of communication will be betting on a winning horse.

However buying land in and securing your acquisitions in Pakistan is a tricky business, which must be handled by professional land acquisition consultants. If a consultation is required regarding such an investment,  please contact me on my email address:  adilrajah18@gmail.com



          

Tuesday 22 November 2016

Ignored Pakistani Interests in CPEC(China Pakistan Economic Corridor)

While China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is well underway fast becoming a reality, certain Pakistani interests in this scenario are being ignored, not only by the Chinese government, but also by the Pakistani state.



It is now a taboo in Pakistan to criticise CPEC while any act as such may be marked as treasonous by the ultra nationalists. However, we need to realise the impact of treating CPEC and its related projects as the divine verses/orders. CPEC is not any holy grail, but after all a business venture, which must address the concerns of common Pakistanis and secure their interests.

China may be treating Pakistan with complete sincerity, but is investing in Pakistan only through state run organisations and mega business enterprises. This is creating a monopoly which will restrict the benefits of CPEC to that monopoly alone. It is understood that China is doing only what suits her interests best and being a communist socialist republic finds itself comfortable dealing with state run institutions and mega businesses having the blessings of the state. However, this situation does not suit the aspirations and interests of the common Pakistanis who are willing and able to raise their voices in order to secure their interests in a democratic republic ruled by a mostly corrupt regime.

China may have secured the Chinese interests in partnership with the Pakistani state institutions for now. But in the longer run, if they continue to ignore the interests of the common people in Pakistan , they are looking at a Pak-US like scenario, where they would be paying/investing money in Pakistan, but the disenfranchised masses at Pakistan would work to sabotage the CPEC and related infrastructure to redress their grievances.

China must understand, that the security establishment of Pakistan which is currently fully on board with them regards CPEC ultimately works to full-fill the national aspirations of Pakistani citizens. If the common Pakistani people feel disenfranchised by the CPEC, which benefits the largely corrupt monopoly created by China, these same people will aspire for the opposite of their present enthusiasm regarding the CPEC.

The dominating Pakistani interests being ignored regards CPEC are :-

  • Chinese emphasis on working with Punjabi strongmen like Shahbaz Sharif ignoring the leaders of smaller provinces.
  • Chinese emphasis on conducting business with only state run/mega business enterprises ignoring the small and medium business owners/entrepreneurs.
  • Chinese and Pakistani government's failure to address the environmental impact and carbon imprints of CPEC/related projects like the coal based power plants being made in Pakistan by China.
  • Chinese emphasis on primarily investing in Punjab working with the Punjab dominated Pakistani federal government ignoring the smaller provinces. Projects like "Orange Train" at Lahore under the banner of CPEC is uncalled for.
  • Chinese and Pakistani government's lack of interest in establishing a 'limited visa free transit' for each other's nationals which is only restricted to the government officials for now.
CPEC and its related projects can only be sustainable and profitable for both China and Pakistan if the above stated interests of the common people of Pakistan are secured and ensured in the long run.

People to people, not only government to government exchanges is the key to move forward by both countries in order to understand the aspirations and interests of each other.

'People' and their 'prosperity' are two major pillars for the masses of both China and Pakistan to make CPEC and One Belt One Road(OBOR) project a resounding success for the long term. And as the Chinese would wisely say, "if you want one year of prosperity, grow grain. If you want ten years of prosperity, grow trees. If you want one hundred year of prosperity, grow people". 
At Pakistan, we wish to grow it all including grain, trees and people alongside our Chinese friends. Only that will suffice to make the hype created by CPEC become a reality for the masses.

I would like to conclude by quoting a Chinese proverb:-
                                      "To open a shop is easy, to keep it open is an art"       




                

Sunday 13 November 2016

How Did Donald Trump Win?



Donald Trump won the US Presidential elections essentially due to his campaign managers and his "homework" rather than "hard work". He concentrated on manipulating and capitalising on the electoral system rather winning popular votes which he couldn't. Donald Trump's winning strategy was based on two basic pillars. First was to voice popular sentiments in the US in plain and blunt language, while the second pillar was to exploit the US fault-lines which included her foreign policy which is mostly hypocritical in nature.



Donald Trump beat the phenomenal lobbying against his candidacy by offering an alternative to the status quo to the American people.  Hillary failed to do the same irrespective of her glamorous campaign supported by all the right quarters which makes any candidacy a winning bet. The impoverished white America in particular wanted to believe anything that would mean a change, even a lie, to go back to relive the American dream somehow. Trump made them that promise, which he may well not be able to keep, but he made it anyway. Donald Trump told the working class Americans,  in particular those living in the states with most electoral votes, that he will "make America great again". He repeated himself enough to make them all believe in his rhetoric.

While the American left only laughed and ridiculed Donald Trump, his campaign and the supporters he had; they only alienated the masses further toward the rite. The average Joe in America, which makes a sizeable dominant majority, simply wanted to listen to what Donald Trump had to say. They were awed by the chest thumping and promises of remaking the American dream with foul mouthed boasting against any opposition to Donald Trump, for he spoke the language they all understood perfectly well.

in contrast, Hillary represented the status quo which offered no radical promises, keeping in view the ground facts which were known to her, she just laughed at the gimmicks of Donald Trump, not taking him seriously. Those very gimmicks won Trump the election and left Hillary flabbergasted. Trump knew his audience well and spoke their language working on their insecurities, concentrating on the states with most electoral votes he knew that would swing in his favour.

While all political pundits around the world predicted Hillary to win the US Presidential elections, she only proved them right to the extent of winning the popular vote. Donald Trump on the other hand check mated all his opposition by working on winning the electoral seats/votes. He was able to do so, with the racist bias in his campaign by the white population in America, who were pushed in to a corner by the cultured yet naive democrats.

The price of the democrat's choice of making Hillary as their candidate and trying to brush all the legitimate concerns of republican vote bank under the carpet would be paid by a reality TV star acting out his role in the white house for next four, who knows eight years. Donald Trump would surely oversee the demise of the USA's era as the sole superpower of the world. More importantly, whether he's able to deliver upon his promises or not, would decide the state of the union of the USA.                 

Monday 31 October 2016

How China is Reshaping the World-South Asia in Particular


With China possessing wads of surplus cash to spare, after years of super fast economic growth, the Chinese designs of rising as a superpower essentially revolves around, creating hegemony through economic integration and investments. The trillions of dollars of investment in  the Chinese "One Belt One Road(OBOR)" initiative by China is a step towards the same direction.

China is quietly working on buying wide ranging influence by creating an economic hegemony around the globe which already includes investments in the USA, Latin America, Europe, Asia and resource rich Africa. With the future of global economy resting in Asia Pacific region, China is currently focusing her economic ingress into the Asian Pacific region.

The OBOR initiative thus revolves around two basic endeavours by the Chinese planners. Firstly the OBOR aims at integrating the Asian Pacific and Euro-Asian economies by linking it with Chinese mainland through direct road and rail links spreading the Chinese economic hegemony in these regions. Secondly and most importantly OBOR will provide an alternative to China to sea trade routes dominated by the mighty US Navy giving the last punch to knock out US global prowess.

The host countries involved in the Chinese designs with the exception of very few are welcoming the overall impact of the Chinese plans. Opposed to the US model of global hegemony based on military might, wars and unnecessary bloodshed, they see the Chinese model of hegemony through economic integration as highly beneficial for this model creates jobs and progress in their countries.

China is working to resolve regional disputes through dialogues and investments where possible to create favourable conditions for their economic hegemony like recently noticed in the case of the Philippines breaking traditional ties with the USA to join the Chinese camp. On other instances Chinese strategy is based on military and proxy confrontation, like in the case of USA and Japan, where these country's populations are unwilling to comprehend the ground reality that the USA is no-more the sole super power of the world and the uni-polar world order is dead. Chinese military build up in South China sea and the refusal of North Korea to give away its nuclear arsenal is a point in this case displaying the underlying Chinese designs.

The US led western strategy is essentially based on creating India as a counterweight to the rise of the Chinese Empire. However, India is in no position to oblige the US desires irrespective of a deep rooted desire to do so. India is an impoverished country which simply does not possess the muscle to either economically match the Chinese monetary prowess or militarily fight a two front war with China at one side and her staunchest ally Pakistan on the other side. While Pakistan desires to confront India with the Chinese help in the backdrop of a traditional arch rivalry, Chinese interests yet again dictate the requirements of economic integration for the region, with both India and Pakistan being her neighbouring countries.

China is thus quietly, but surely working to resolve differences with India which would indirectly encourage Pakistan to follow suit. China simply cannot afford to let three countries including them-self having potent nuclear arsenals jump to the guns, destroying the regional economy on whose integration the very rise of China as a global superpower depends upon. That's why China is secretly but forcefully wooing India to join the Chinese OBOR initiative. India is so far not only resisting to join the OBOR but working to sabotage the pivotal artery of the mega project, which is "China Pakistan Economic Corridor(CPEC)". Irrespective of all this and Pakistani security establishment's apprehensions, China is working with Pakistani politicians in toe to create an environment for peaceful resolution of disputes in the region.

 China is enticing India to join OBOR, but India is increasingly apprehensive of her rising hegemony, in particular being boasted to confront China by the US/West. However, the USA will sooner than later have to start looking inwards and focus on her domestic failing infrastructure and related domestic economic issues, which will provide China with the much needed space to move in the Indian markets. India would be forced to join the OBOR by the free market economy it depends upon to survive. Chinese investments of trillions of dollars in their economies will force UK/EU to allow the Chinese domination as such while it is needless to say that Russia and rest of Chinese allies, in particular the BRICS economic alliance of which India is a part of, would side along with the Chinese interests.

Such a scenario will promote peace, prosperity and democracy in the region, which will ultimately work towards the benefit of respective populations. It would be a win all situation for everyone less the US designs and delusional Hindu ultra nationalists, but you can/t keep everyone happy but only try to do so.      



               

Thursday 13 October 2016

Donald Or Hillary? Who Would Israel Support?

Image result for us presidential election


American system of Presidential elections is more like Presidential selection by those who control money in the donation based US political system. It is mostly, like this, in the modern system of western democracy, less those few democracies, with comparatively smaller, but aware and educated population. Donor Money and allegiances plays the most crucial pivotal part in turning the undecided vote bank. We are talking about big money and resources controlled by groups of people with vested interests. American political system is anything but fair like most of its matching counterparts around the world. The two party system in America was only challenged once in modern history by Ross Perot, who was timely neutralized by the managers of American political system, which works on the whims of the Lobbyists.

 The biggest lobbyist firm among them all is called the AIPAC ( American Israel Public Affairs Committee ). AIPAC by virtue of its control over the recommendations they give to Jews political donors who have the biggest bucks effectively manipulates the American political and governance mechanisms towards the Israeli/Zionists objectives. There are other interest groups involved in the lobbying sector from respective vested interests, but no one beats the AIPAC.

 "Any US President has to sign more than Ten Million US Dollars in Military aid to Israel  Daily. The stakes for AIPAC and Israeli lobby it leads are very high. AIPAC would never allow things get out of their hands and slip into those of the American public". 

It is highly convenient to manage only two candidates by the AIPAC. Which ever pledges loyalty with the Israeli cause to AIPAC is recommended to the wealthy Jews donor lobby for support. The support of AIPAC for the Presidential race almost means victory for the candidate being supported. AIPAC rarely recommends or reject any presidential candidate openly, but keeps its business under heavy shrouds of secrecy. However, one may easily read in between the lines to know who is the AIPAC blued eyed candidate. The amount of air time dedicated to any candidate in mainstream US/Western media gives away the choice of AIPAC. Hillary Clinton in this case is leading Donald Trump. Hillary is the unanimous darling of mainstream media.

So what's wrong with Trump. Almost everything you will note, but he is willing to pledge to AIPAC for the Israeli cause, why not, him then? Its because of his irrational and temperamental personality I suppose. You can't really trust Trump with his words as he has proved repeatedly. It seems he's playing his part in the biggest reality show on the globe. Even the Republicans themselves are not supporting Donald Trump unanimously. On the other hand, in Hillary Clinton AIPAC and the Israeli Lobby finds comfort of conformity. Hillary will ensure status quo, and that's what AIPAC and the Israeli lobby desires. Any US President has to sign more than Ten Million US Dollars in Military aid to Israel  Daily. The stakes for AIPAC and Israeli lobby it leads are very high. AIPAC would never allow things get out of their hands and slip into those of the American public.

As for American public, Hillary brings in experience of how the system works and the same may allow her to manipulate it for her financial supporters. Trump on the other hand is a wild card, who knows how to play with the fears of the naive American population.

Whoever wins the US Presidency, would have to face the immediate challenges of failing US domestic infrastructure in a world, where USA is fast losing the sole superpower status.

 
          

Thursday 29 September 2016

Indian Surgical Strikes In Pakistan- Disinformation for Face Saving



The global reaction spearheaded by Pakistan in response to the killing of the Kashmiri freedom fighter figurehead, Burhan Wani, was unprecedented. It swept the Indian establishment off their very feet in terms of condemnation and negative publicity. The response by the Indian security forces was brutal. The security forces in Indian administered Kashmir violently reacted towards the protesting population with the use of blunt force to subdue these protests. They succeeded in killing hundreds and critically injuring thousands of Kashmiris. This has internationally exposed the Indian apartheid in Kashmir like never before.


"The United Nations human rights body (UNHRC) took notice of the recent spate of the Indian brutalities in Kashmir and demanded an inquiry, which was dismissed and opposed by the Indian government, by denying access to the UNHRC."



The United Nations human rights body (UNHRC) took notice of the recent spate of the Indian brutalities in Kashmir and demanded an inquiry, which was dismissed and opposed by the Indian government, by denying access to the UNHRC. This is the same global human rights body that has been welcomed by Pakistan on the same demand towards the Pakistani side of Kashmir. Indians have not only committed heinous crimes against humanity in Kashmir in recent times, but also have numerous skeletons in their cupboard, that they are desperate to hide in the confines of the beautiful valley, which is why they have reason to avoid such inspection.

"The delusional Hindu nationalist mindset groomed by the mainstream Indian media, prefers to remain oblivious to the inhumane behaviour of the Indian security forces in Kashmir, as the state policy of India."

The delusional Hindu nationalist mindset groomed by the mainstream Indian media, prefers to remain oblivious to the inhumane behaviour of the Indian security forces in Kashmir, as the state policy of India. Indian nationals live in one of the greatest hypocritical societies ever created. Proof of this is the silencing of the voices of the Kashmiri people, bravely raised at the cost of their blood with their screams drowned using the mouthpiece power, (chartered by the Indian corporate media) that exists due to the sheer number of nationalist mindset people, the same mindset which is currently in power in India.

The situation was already frustrating for the Indian government, after the calls by Modi, the Indian premier, openly supporting separatist movements in Pakistan. It was a bid to divert focus from the Kashmir dispute, which failed. This move was made by Modi to stir unrest in Baluchistan, (where India is already waging a clandestine war) The response in Baluchistan and across Pakistan was humiliating for India and Modi in particular, but it met its certain death in the shape of a sharp rebuttal from India's ally at present, the USA. In contrast, the evidence of Indian involvement in subversive activities in Baluchistan has been proven time and time again with the latest proof of this being the capture of an Indian spymaster, Kulbushan Yadav; a serving Indian naval officer on deputation to Indian intelligence agency, RAW. Kulbushan Yadav has admitted that India supports militancy in Baluchistan and FATA, by hiring Taliban mercenaries from Afghanistan to wreck havoc within Pakistan, he also admitted to supplying arms to the militants. It seems that these consistent efforts by India to destabilize Pakistan is causing paranoia within the Indian government, so much so that India is adamant that the Kashmiri cause must also still being supported militarily by Pakistan.

The recent situation in Indian administered Kashmir and the widespread international condemnation of Indian state atrocities, has undressed India in front of the international community. They now stand naked due to Pakistan's successful diplomatic efforts, in particular at the UN general assembly. Pakistan exposed the Indian apartheid in Kashmir, creating desperate times for the Modi government in India.

With India's failure to divert international focus from their atrocious rule in Kashmir, a situation was "created" after which Pakistan was blamed for an attack on a heavily fortified Indian military base in Uri in Indian administered Kashmir. Indian media chartered war mongering and successfully diverted the global attention from Kashmir, towards a possible nuclear war in South Asia. The Indian media did everything in it's power in an irresponsible manner, to create war hysteria and to globally marginalize the exposure of Indian brutalities in Kashmir, suppressing Pakistan's legitimate support for the Kashmir cause, but it all failed to subdue the defiant Pakistani stance on Kashmir.

The situation further got desperate for India when their so called policy of internationally isolating Pakistan and declaring her a terrorist state, drastically failed to impress any of the major powers in the world. Subsequently, the Modi government began blaming Pakistan for causing the problems in Kashmir. This was augmented with threats to cut Pakistani waters. The Indian government should realise that this is not possible under the current circumstances where India itself is a middle riparian state, with China being the upper riparian, having the ability to dry out the entire region artificially, through her seven hundred plus dams, already built on the flow of the rivers coming down to South Asia. The Chinese deep rooted bilateral relationship with Pakistan is no secret and puts India on a weaker foothold, again.

Failing to break Pakistani resolve, the Modi government came under sharp domestic criticism from the delusional Hindu nationalist mindset, which for some reason believe in the Hindu supremacy of South Asia. The government of India was fast losing international prestige for their country, with clear indications from global and regional powers that they are siding with Pakistan in the war mongering self righteous attitude of the Indian government

"A surgical strike involves infiltration of the hostile space to carry out operations behind enemy lines. However the reality of the efforts made by the Indian army was that this was a highly anticipated fire raid (border skirmishes) at the LOC after the threats made by the Indian government "that they will respond to the Uri attacks"



In their efforts to appease domestic cries for revenge after the Uri attack, the Modi government came out with the equally desperate gimmick of "surgical strikes" in Pakistan targeting imaginary terrorist hideouts. A surgical strike involves infiltration of the hostile space to carry out operations behind enemy lines. However the reality of the efforts made by the Indian army was that this was a highly anticipated fire raid (border skirmishes) at the LOC, after the threats made by the Indian government "that they will respond to the Uri attacks" However these details don't bother the Indian media. The words of the English speaking majority in India who are shouting at the top of their voices is having more affect in the media than the less versed in English counterparts in Pakistan who despite having a more legitimate argument are overpowered by the quantity not quality of the English speaking Indians.

"Sources confirmed that the Indian Army is unable to evacuate their fallen soldiers for the fear of being in the direct line of fire of the Pakistani guns."

The Pakistanis responded with full force to the Indian advances at the LOC and reportedly forced the Indians to retreat while leaving behind their dead and injured. These dead and injured Indian soldiers are reportedly still lying on the de-facto border even after twenty four hours of the forced cessation of the Indian hostilities. Sources confirmed that the Indian Army is unable to evacuate their fallen soldiers for the fear of being in the direct line of fire of the Pakistani guns. To put salt on their wounds, the Pakistani Army has captured an Indian soldier alive, who was involved in these border skirmishes.

"The Indian government desperately needed to stage this drama after months of empty threats towards Pakistan, to pacify their delusional vote bank in India."

These hostilities at the line of control and their subsequent referral to them as (fabricated) surgical strikes, are being feverishly celebrated by the Indian media. While the world laughs at this delusional Indian perspective, Pakistan is only flabbergasted at the sheer naivety of the general Indian population, being taken for a ride of deceit by their establishment. The Indian government desperately needed to stage this drama after months of empty threats towards Pakistan, to pacify their delusional vote bank in India.

Indians may have achieved the short term objective, of diverting international focus from its naked and brutal aggression in Kashmir, however, the blood of the innocent Kashmiris, shed ruthlessly by the Indian apartheid won't be allowed to go to waste by Pakistan. Pakistan won't be impressed or forced into submission by India, as it's itself a globally acknowledged military power with a robust nuclear arsenal. India with its delusional Hindu nationalist mindset, trying to wage war, only faces a MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) scenario for the entire region. India irrespective of possessing an economy that is seven times larger than Pakistan and a military that is three times larger than neighbouring Pakistan, is, and will remain, unable to bully Pakistan into submission in her quest for regional hegemony. Pakistan will stand with the Kashmiri people until a peaceful settlement of the Kashmir conflict is reached through negotiations involving all the antagonists in the dispute.

 "Peace is the only logical way forward, but the politicians in both India and Pakistan refuse to envision this for their own selfish desires for power."
This cycle of hate and violence will continue to go on, as any country would respond to outright hostility (As opposed to baseless accusations) from an aggressor with equal force. Pakistan will also respond after the violation of the ceasefire on the line of control, made by India. Peace is the only logical way forward, but the politicians in both India and Pakistan refuse to envision this, for their own selfish desires for power. Until then, the populations of both countries need to be prepared for hostile relations of all descriptions with their neighbours. The people are the ones that are truly affected by the shortsighted and senseless decisions of their governments, initiated on this occasion by India. 

Monday 19 September 2016

Grey Areas of CPEC



The veil of secrecy surrounding CPEC (China Pakistan Economic Corridor) is both misty and mysterious. While the Chinese government traditionally holds all such state business matters behind closed doors, Pakistani government of Mr Nawaz Sharif is also fighting hard to keep wraps on the CPEC mega billion dollars project.

The Chinese businesses in collaboration with their Pakistani counterparts in CPEC related projects in particular where the majority of 46 billion USD financing is being utilized, that is the energy and power sector wants the details of these projects to be kept under the shrouds.         

 Most interestingly, the CPEC "turf wars" in Pakistan has taken a prominent turn when the political government of Mr Nawaz Sharif refused to share the CPEC project details in its entirety with the Pakistani military establishment which is the basic security stake holder of the project.

Chinese foreign investments where Chinese state finances are involved like in CPEC project are considered free from any competitive bidding process or any other scrutiny as a pre-requisite by the Chinese state bank. 

Against popular belief, China is also not interested in involving the Pakistani security establishment beyond the security paradigm of the project. The Chinese businesses in collaboration with their Pakistani counterparts in CPEC related projects in particular where the majority of 46 billion USD financing is being utilized, that is the energy and power sector wants the details of these projects to be kept under the shrouds.

China is putting in 46 billion USD in the CPEC as an investment upon which, China is looking to extract almost 60% profits in 15 years time period with complete return of investment.

Chinese foreign investments where Chinese state finances are involved like in CPEC project are considered free from any competitive bidding process or any other scrutiny as a pre-requisite by the Chinese state bank. Under this scenario the Pakistani public procurement rules/regulations (PP&RA Laws) are thrown in the bin out-rightly for all CPEC related projects.


CPEC is the part and pilot project of China's One Belt One Road initiative



China is putting 46 billion USD in the CPEC as an investment upon which, China is looking to extract almost 60% profits in 15 years time period with complete return of investment. Almost 36 billion USD out of this amount will be invested in energy and power sector with establishment of power plants all across the CPEC for proposed economic zones which would certainly attract further foreign direct investments, but at a certain cost.

In the most recent G-20 summit in China, the only internationally hailed news was the signing of the environmental protection accord or the so called Paris accord/Kyoto protocol by both China and the USA. Under this agreement China must decommission its ageing coal based power plants causing most of the nefarious smog in the Chinese mainland. China was looking a way to head in this direction for quite some time now. But the incurring costs on the said decommissioning obviously doesn't suit the business competitiveness model of the Chinese economy upon which the "Red Empire" rose to her current status. Not until now, the Chinese had an opportunity to decommission their ageing coal based power plants and shift them to Pakistan as part of the CPEC related power projects. The Chinese would not only sell these coal based power plants to the energy starved Pakistan but also make 60% more profit from this junk which will reportedly reach 20% of its total capacity by 2028 requiring a complete overhaul.

While Pakistan would be provided with the severely short electricity its economy and in particular the CPEC requires to flourish, China would be getting rid of its ageing power plants on huge profit margins. Its a win-win situation for both sides until we consider the disastrous environmental impact, these projects would cause to Pakistan. These concerns have already been aired by the commander of the Pakistani Army Southern command in a seminar on CPEC earlier this year.

The cost of these projects related to CPEC is the second biggest grey area well hidden by both the governments of China and Pakistan protected by the Chinese state bank clauses and thus remain free from any public scrutiny in Pakistan or for that matter China. With the track record of corruption and nepotism, Chinese and in particular the Pakistani officials led by Pakistani Prime Minister Mr Nawaz Sharif, it is evident that another billion dollar scandal is in the making.

It is a very genuine demand of the Pakistani population who have some kind of knowledge, that the stated grey areas of CPEC must be addressed and scrutinized now, before its too late as usual. The Chinese investment is the need of the hour for Pakistan and its economy and Chinese friendship and strategic partnership has been always most welcomed by every segment of the Pakistani society. However, to keep this special relationship flourishing and to further strengthen the Pak-China deep rooted strategic partnership, these grey areas must be addressed at priority.    

          


         

Wednesday 31 August 2016

China Flexing Muscles



China has finally decided to shed away the policy of looking inward and is seemingly ready to flex her muscles. at least in it's regional theater. Chinese policy makers have already warned India, that their country is willing to get directly involved in the eventuality of any Indian aggression towards Pakistan. It is an indirect message to the USA, which is forming a strategic alliance with India to counter China.

China is not only re-affirming its economic commitment in the region but also is looking to confront the US designs to counter the rise of China in the region through military means if deemed necessary. Chinese response to the US aggression is at both diplomatic and strategic levels where China is forming new strategic alliances, essentially focusing on Asia. China has already established her mark in Africa and Latin America much to the discomfort of the USA. Chinese financial resources are making a limited, but highly potent ingress in the western technology businesses. Chinese flags are waving all across the global financial horizon while China is now extending this influence in the strategic spheres starting from her immediate neighborhood.  

China has rejected American influenced arbitration over the South China Sea by the ICJ even before the announcement of the judgement was made. The way international law works is by voluntary enforcement of decisions where nation states are involved. China's blunt refusal to obey any arbitrary rule of the ICJ means China is finally following in the USA's footprints in establishing regional hegemony.

China on its northern frontiers is building an artificial island in South China sea to station PLA modern war machinery on a very fast pace. In the South, they have reached the warm waters of the Arabian sea through the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The Chinese Navy will be stationed at the Pakistani port of Gawader. So much for the USA's plans of China's containment which essentially banks upon India.


The USA is fast  losing clout in the Chinese neighborhoods and it's evident. While the USA navy still controls the world seas and it's trading routes, China is claiming her own turf in the region. On the other hand Chinese President Xi Jingping's Iron Silk Route related infrastructure investments in Asia and Europe, are aimed at shifting the Asian Pacific and Euro-Asian trade, from sea to land routes. Such a scenario would drastically cut down the USA's influence over the global economy, whose future lies in the Asia Pacific. The CPEC will link the Middle Eastern region directly with the Chinese mainland. The Chinese economy is dependent on the energy resources from the Middle East while at the same time Chinese businesses are flourishing in the Middle Eastern markets.

THE CHINESE ONE BELT ONE ROAD INITIATIVE IS LOOKING TO CHANGE THE FACE OF EURO-ASIAN TRADE AND THE END OF THE USA'S INFLUENCE ON GLOBAL TRADE ROUTES.


The USA's response to the entire situation is an alliance with India to counter the rise of China. Indian capabilities to meet the USA's expectations as such are however limited and makes no impression on China being an established regional power.

Post Brexit United Kingdom with an investment of 80 billion US dollars and more by China is only paving the way in the Euro-Asian region for the rise of Sino-Russian alliance as global superpowers along with the USA. What we are looking at is the end of the uni-polar global world order into a multi polar global order led by the USA, Russia and China.

USA in her last ditch efforts are busy creating conflict in South Asia to hinder the rise of China by using the corrupt politicians and bribing India with  US transfer of military and aerospace technology. However, the Indo-US alliance is handicapped to meet its objective due to time and space factor in this global strategic competition. The USA is fast loosing steam after it's meaningless wars post 9/11 which resulted in the loss of trillions of dollars to the US economy. The political cost of the bloodshed killing millions of humans in these wars, fought under false flag agendas, is hurting the USA's global repute having it's impact on the USA's domestic theater. The USA's domestic infrastructure both at material and social spheres, requires an overhaul which would sooner than later force the USA to look inwards, loosing it's global policing to the new regional powers. China only knows this too well, and is patiently but steadily flexing her muscles to claim the space being lost by the USA in this strategic scenario. Pakistan is the prime example of this incurring phenomenon where China is fast gaining grounds abandoned by the USA.

The essential difference between the US and Chinese methods of exerting influence in various parts of the world, lies with the Chinese policies of investing in the host economies, generating profits and spreading prosperity as opposed to the USA's methods of wasting money through corrupt systems of   USAID and military intervention causing misery to the countries on the receiving end.          

Friday 19 August 2016

The Only Solution For Kashmir


The foremost step in conflict resolution is accepting the existence of any conflict. The Hindu nationalist mindset in India is unwilling but forced to acknowledge by internal and external pressures, that, Kashmir is an unfinished agenda of the partition of the subcontinent in 1947. This is the first step towards a resolution of the Kashmir dispute.

The death of Burhan Wani by the hands of the Indian Army in Kashmir, sparked the recent wave of bloody protests in the Indian held Kashmir supported by demonstrations from across the line of control in Pakistan. These protests, on one hand exposed the Indian apartheid in Kashmir under their control and on the other hand globally established the Kashmir conflict as a political dispute being constantly ignored by the Indian government.

Most recently, throwing the Indian nationalist position on Kashmir in the dustbin, UN Chief, Ban ki-moon slams killings in India-held Kashmir and calls for India-Pakistan dialogue. The UNO is seemingly under intense pressure by the successful Pakistani led diplomacy which calls upon the resolution of the Kashmir dispute. The UNO is otherwise being heavily criticized for failing to resolve all issues relating to the Muslim world with an epic failure in Palestine, Libya, Syria and the list goes on. The global mainstream media  irrespective of their allegiances is forced to take notice of the plight of Kashmiris in the Indian held half of Kashmir where Indian security forces have thus far killed and maimed in-numerous Kashmiris in a freedom struggle supported by Pakistan. India is diplomatically and informatively being successfully cornered to accept the political nature of the Kashmir dispute. The global formal and informal media and diplomatic channels are on fire in efforts essentially led by Pakistan, but the blood of innocent Kashmiris shed by Indian security forces is the main fuel burning this fire.    

The Indian government is under intense public pressure from around the world to resolve the Kashmir dispute. Same pressure constitutes the reason for the Indian government's positive response to offer of talks by Pakistan. Such talks have been held in the past as well, without substantial results, but succeeded in establishing certain confidence building measures.

It is in the interest of the Pakistani government led by Nawaz Sharif to resolve the Kashmir dispute, for such a scenario would surely curtail the Pakistani security establishment's hold in the power dynamics of Pakistan. Indian government led by Narendra Modi has invested a lot of political capital in the government of Nawaz Sharif and makes no secret of this fact. Does this mean Kashmir will get Aazadi? (Freedom). Most likely not, as both India and Pakistan won't relinquish any territory under any circumstances while both countries are holding almost equal parts of Kashmir.

Another important geopolitical dimension of the Kashmir dispute is the Indo-US and Sino-Pak strategic alliances. Both these strategic alliances put the nuclear armed India and Pakistan on yet another conflict path in regard to Kashmiri territory. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor or CPEC is the most important element of The Chinese One Road One Belt (OBOR) initiative.The OBOR forms a strategic and mega-economic drive by China to free it's dependence on the South China Sea and the Straits of Malacca which fall under direct US influence. By linking the Chinese region of Xingjiang to the deep sea port of Gawader in Pakistan, China has already found an alternative to the trade and commerce route with the Middle Eastern region and the rest of the world. In this regard, China is in the process of investing 46 million US Dollars in Pakistan for the development of the CPEC which also passes through the Pakistani controlled territory of what was originally part of Kashmir.

The entire situation gives China an ace in global geopolitics, fast tracking her rise as a superpower. This obviously doesn't sit well with the USA,  hence India is playing the part of the USA's strategic partner to openly confront the Chinese-Pakistan designs regarding the CPEC. However, this particular scenario has brought China in the picture as a direct stake holder in the Pakistani security interests. A headache again, for India and USA for sure, but there is only a limit until you can sabotage a nation which is dedicated to making a project of such magnitude a success. Both China and Pakistan under no circumstances will back down on the CPEC. China's prestige as a regional power and her desire to become a global superpower essentially rests on the success of OBOR, as well as the result of the South China Sea dispute to which the CPEC is an alternative.  India can either join in the development as offered by China or keep nagging and waging the proxy war it has already started against the project from Afghanistan through the mercenary elements that are available there in abundance.

Re-focusing back on to the Kashmiri dispute, and its just resolution, the only viable solution is to allow free movement between both sides of Kashmir in staged phases. This is in the national interests of China, India and Pakistan however negating USA. In doing so, India may join the OBOR project through the CPEC via Kashmir linking the two biggest global economies of the world. It would not only provide relief to the human tragedies of the Kashmiri people, but would boost the regional economy too. Such a solution to the Kashmir dispute would slowly but surely diminish the decades old rivalry between China-Pakistan and India creating a stable region and bringing in global investments, not to mention the people in the most populous part of the world would be able to live, free of fear, hate and constant war mongering.

It is the only viable solution to the the Kashmir dispute provided the nationalists and hawks in both India and Pakistan give a break to their ego based and testosterone fueled decisions.                   

Tuesday 16 August 2016

THANK YOU MR MODI

Indian PM Mr Narendra Modi giving his independence day speech at New Delhi, India on 15 August 2016.

Indian PM Narendra Modi in his speech on independence day validated following: 

1. Pakistan's claims about Indian intervention in #Baluchistan.
 
2. Kashmiri population's stance that India is least interested in allowing their democratic rights.

3. India seeks confrontation in the region.

On top of that, India finally provided a valid reason for Pakistan to act against India to counter the threat India posed to her security.

Mr Modi single handedly destroyed the Pakistani segment of society propagating India_Pakistan peace and at the same time united the divided Pakistani population over an all out counter offensive to Indian aggression.

Pakistani hawks, but only have sincere thanks to Mr Modi for professing their point of view.

In the end, it is no more about India and Pakistan, but after the advent of #CPEC project, China has direct stakes in the security of Pakistan. India May be able to tackle Pakistan, but to take on China and Pakistan both simultaneously is simply not possible for India, even sitting in the American lap.

China has its reputation as a regional power at stake once it comes to Pakistan. If China can't prove to be a regional power, than no one will take their rise as a superpower seriously in entire globe. Chinese only know it too well. That's the reason Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson,talking to the media few days ago said, "Pakistan is to China, what Israel is to the United States".

India is playing a very dangerous game by targeting Pakistan in a proxy war, commissioning the Taliban Frankenstein through Afghanistan. It had almost worked for India, if only, Pakistanis didn't know how to play the game they invented themselves better.

Indian Machiavelli tactics,or shall we say Chankiya doctrine, will only come back to haunt India. Its only a matter of time and nerves, which the Pakistanis displayed to be on their side time and again. 

As for India's newly found love affair with America, in the words of the famous Pakistani President Field Marshall Ayub Khan, "It is dangerous to be the enemies of United States, but, it is even deadlier to be their friends".

Modi and his Devil's Advocate Ajit Doval did it again by unleashing their dog Altaf Hussain yesterday, who was tasked to bark against the very country he feeds on. It was done so as that the security establishment respond by killing the few thugs left in Karachi still supporting Altaf's MQM, and provides India with a reason to launch a media campaign targeting Pakistan and it's security establishment. The move backfired yet again just like #Baluchistan, essentially resulting in uniting #Pakistan, in particular against India and Altaf's #MQM in Karachi. 

Indian efforts to divert attention from #Kashmir are repeatedly being blunted by mature response by Pakistani establishment.

Only vicious card now left with the devil's advocate remains to be the mercenaries called Taliban. 

Sunday 24 July 2016

India-Pakistan: A Case For Peace


Human emotions are the most illogical, yet strongest motivation for both peace and war. These emotions may be based on ground realities but easily remain susceptible to manipulation. Fortunes are made through such manipulation all around the globe. But these fortunes are predominantly made at the cost of human misery and tragedy. Such is the nature of an age old conflict between both India and Pakistan. Till date this conflict has given birth to numerous human tragedies and sufferings born out of politics of hate and fear.

Both Indians and Pakistanis mostly remain misinformed about each other plagued by stereotypes and prejudices. Hatred and fear, not reason, derive the distorted perceptions ( https://whatholdsthefuture.blogspot.com/2015/09/impediments-to-india-pakistan-peace.html ) of both sides.

Enough has been written and said on the background of the India-Pakistan rivalry based where religion remains to be the basic cause of contention. Organized clergy and the politicians seeking their patronage on both sides are the main instigators and beneficiaries of this conflict. In the process, both countries have brought the entire region onthe verge of a nuclear holocaust which may engulf the entire world with its fall out.

The biggest sufferers of this tragedy of errors on part of the religious and political leaders of both sides are the innocent population on both sides. While the politics of hate and fear by both sides is ferociously played, it works on continuously radicalizing the people, in particular the youth of both sides.

The problem governing this historical rivalry essentially revolves around the Kashmir issue. However, the major escalation of this rivalry and resultant bloodshed is due to the willingness of both Indian and Pakistani state officials, especially in security and intelligence spheres to enhance respective careers exploiting this tragedy of errors. This further intensifies the already complicated quagmire called India-Pakistan bilateral relations.

The demographic pattern of the Asian subcontinent essentially consists of emotionally charged and highly reactive population. Under these circumstances, the situation will always remain ripe for opportunistic state officials, politicians, religious clergy and any outside force which stands to benefit from this rivalry. The looser will always be the same emotional population on both sides which are easily led and being treated as sheep by their respective leaders under the scenario.

Kashmir being the principal bone of contention towards a durable Indo-Pakistan peace requires a solution for the sake of both India and Pakistan and the future of its populations. Pakistani model of Kashmir on its side is an ideal solution for India. Pakistan boasts an independent Jammu and Kashmir with fully democratic self rule and at the same time free movement and reserved jobs in Pakistan with reserved seats for Kashmiri youth in all state educational institutions. If India lets go of its autocratic rule in Kashmir with an iron grip over its democratic institutions and allows free movement and trade between both sides of Kashmir, only then a resolution, acceptable to all stake holders may take effect, Such an eventuality would not only ease the horrendous human sufferings of the populations effected by this rivalry on both sides but also will pave the way for a durable peace between both the nuclear armed neighbours.

If European nations after centuries of wars among themselves can form a project like the European Union, the least India and Pakistan can do is to tame down all the hatred and disgust towards each other and work to resolve their differences through the similarities born out of a shared heritage.  


 " Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that. Hate cannot drive out hate;      only love can do that. "
                                                                                                     Martin Luther King, Jr.


           

Tuesday 12 July 2016

Is Pakistan Heading Towards Another Military Coup?


While banners ambiguously inviting the Pakistan Army Chief to take over the government in the country appeared in all major cities of the nuclear armed Islamic republic, it was business as usual at GHQ,the Army headquarters. The country has a well established history of repeated military coups. The banners were put across by a political party having little reputation. However, these banners did create international headlines jolting the corridors of power in Pakistan. Army PR mouthpiece is tight lipped about the banners which were erected even in the military cantonments which possess heightened security measures making it highly unlikely to erect such banners without the requisite approval of the cantonment civilian officials. In some instances it was reported that the banners were carried on vehicles bearing official civilian government registration plates. The political party behind these banners is called "Move On Pakistan", which is headed and funded by a Punjabi businessman. While rumors are widely spread out that various powers within the Pakistani security establishment are supporting this political party, the proof of the same rumors are almost entirely non existent.

The so called political party "Move On Pakistan" claims these banners to be an invitation to the Army Chief General Raheel Sharif who is due to retire in four months time to overthrow the civilian government of Mr Nawaz Sharif and install a government of technocrats overseen by himself. This political party came to prominence after putting across likewise posters few months ago pleading the Army Chief to seek an extension to his tenure as the Army Chief is due to retire in November 2016. The banners were erected previously as a response to the highly celebrated Pakistani Military Chief's publicly announcing his decision of "not to seek" an extension to his tenure as the Army Chief. 

Pakistan Army is considered as the "center of gravity" of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, a role cherished and jealously guarded by the military which has ruled the country for most of her existence. Pakistan is currently under political turmoil after the rampant corruption scandals which marks the civilian government of Nawaz Sharif with the latest feather of "Panama Papers" highlighting the corrupt practices of the Nawaz Sharif family. 

The Pakistani Military always keeps a "Plan B", to secure the national interests if the civilian leadership is considered to be "compromised". This "Plan B" is supposed to be a detailed worked out contingency for the takeover of a failed regime through martial law at any time to be replaced with a nationalist technocratic setup. This contingency is well within the constitution of Pakistan. The said technocrat setup is experienced enough to run the matters of the state without any hindrance while carrying out an in depth accountability process purging the deep rooted corruption in the system of governance in Pakistan. It is said that the Military through its elaborate intelligence organizations are keeping records of all public and official office bearers regards their corrupt practices and illegal money earned through the same. The Military's hands are however, tied due to the absence of a constitutional mandate to hold any such accountability. A Military coup and a technocratic setup in power overseen by the martial law is the only hope for any accountability carried out on the basis of the said intelligence gathering by the Pakistani Army.

It is the desire within the Pakistani security establishment born out of public expectations to purge the entire system of Pakistani state apparatus from the deep rooted corruption which is the primary fissure endangering the very foundation and federation of Pakistan. Corruption at all levels of the "state apparatus" of Pakistan also feeds and fans the curse of terrorism in Pakistan. But most ironically the Pakistani military is also part and parcel of the same "state apparatus", being discussed here. The action by Pakistani Army Chief  Gen Raheel against his own officers involved in billions of rupees of corruption might be the first such accountability at the highest levels of the Pakistani security establishment, but it was just the tip of an iceberg. Pakistani Military is the part of the same society Pakistan is made of, where corruption is accepted as a way of life. Pakistan Army attains a superior position in the power dynamics of Pakistan for its ability to lay lives for the defense of the country on regular basis. Every one officer killed after eight men in the current war against terror is the highest officer to men killed ratio around the world. This great sacrifice of young officers and men gives the Pakistani Generals the ability to dictate terms to the civilian government. The same ability of laying lives for the motherland affords Pakistani Army the public support it enjoys over the politicians and makes Pakistan impregnable against all odds. In an international scenario with powerful enemies like India in the US lap and Taliban funded by the enemies of Pakistan through Afghanistan fueling the home grown terror mechanism, Pakistani Army is surely the last line of defense the Pakistanis can ever be certain of fighting till last drop of blood for that country. 

In the circumstances as discussed above, irrespective of the tainted record the Pakistani Military itself possess, for the people of Pakistan their military is still the last hope they cling with. To their credit, the politicians boasts the public mandate of less then half the population which voted for them, who are now evidently skeptical of performance of the politicians compared to the perks they enjoy at public expense. People of Pakistan distrusts a Prime Minister and his government who does not trust his own country for medical treatment. Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif just returned to Pakistan after 40 days of absence due to a heart surgery in London at public expense. While most of Pakistanis even don't trust he underwent an open heart surgery as claimed by his family, such is the level of distrust by the public towards an elected PM. The majority of Pakistani political elite remains abroad and maintains lavish properties outside Pakistan. Corruption is all ripe and considered a way of life for the Pakistani politicians and civil servants.

Under the circumstances the appearance of the banners all across Pakistan for the Army Chief to declare martial law and hold widespread accountability is not a surprise to the Pakistanis but a representation of the majority thought process in the country. On the other hand the Pakistani Army holds a plan to install a technocratic government for a long haul to overhaul the entire system of ridding it from the deep rooted curse of corruption it identifies as the greatest threat to Pakistan's security and federation. 

Having said that, like witnessed in the past, absolute power has a way of corrupting the Generals themselves and the current lot headed by General Raheel Sharif knows it all too well. General Raheel Sharif possesses a heartily desire to save Pakistan from the curse of corruption. General Raheel Sharif has embarked upon a tough path towards across the board accountability starting from his home base. General Raheel Sharif has given his words to the young officers and men he commands who gives him the immense power to dictate terms to the country's stubborn political elite that he will "finish what he started". How and what he plans to do is still a mystery to many as the Army has made a deal of convenient power sharing with the civilian government of Nawaz Sharif where the defense and foreign policy is in the direct domain of the GHQ (Army Headquarters) while the rest of governance remains with the politicians.  

In the aftermath of the "Panama Papers" scandal the Pakistani parliamentary opposition is jointly taking a stance against the government of Nawaz Sharif. The only thing thwarting a comprehensive action against the Nawaz government was his return from medical leave. Now that he has returned the opposition is planning to come at him with full force. So far Nawaz Sharif cronies succeeded to defend his premiership and an inquiry against his family by scaring the politicians in opposition of an uncertainty being created if Nawaz is exited allowing the Generals to take over power. All the politicians are the rats scared of the cats in khaki uniforms.    

  Nawaz Sharif  knows all this too well, and by secretly supporting this stunt of allowing the banners and invitation of martial law may want to scare the opposition which is planning a mass public protest against him over charges of corruption highlighted in the aftermath of the "Panama Papers". The threat of military takeover has to be exploited for the politicians in opposition to refrain from embarking upon a planned public protest against Nawaz Sharif who failed to justify his family's unaccounted foreign assets. Only Nawaz Sharif or the Army had the power to allow all these banners to be erected in all the major cities of Pakistan including the cantonments areas. The Army wasted no time in removing these banners from its Garrisons and maintained its decorum. Civilian government vehicles were reported to have carried these banners in some cases. It all points to the conspiracy of civilian government of Nawaz Sharif and his brother Shahbaz Sharif in Punjab to hype this drama in a desperate attempt to scare the opposition politicians with the threat of martial law. In fact, the Army has no intention of overtaking the government which it intends to self correct or self destruct for the Army does not wish to be blamed for another military coup exonerating the politicians of their follies like in the past taking all the blame of all the odds itself. The "plan B" of a technocratic government is a contingency if the civilian government fails to function endangering the national stability and security. The opposition is already calling the bluff of Nawaz Sharif government as evident from the statements of senior opposition politician Aatizaz Ahsan rejecting any danger of a martial law exposing the conspiracy of the government infuriating the federal information minister. 

In all probabilities, Nawaz Sharif government and his family has tough days ahead while no immediate relief for Pakistani public ridding them of corruption is in sight.             

                             

Friday 17 June 2016

Afghanistan-Pakistan Standoff_Indian Underlying Design


Pakistani security forces responded aggressively to Afghan stubbornness at the Torkham international border. Afghanis killed and wounded Pakistani security forces men in an unprovoked attack which resulted in the aftermath of the construction of border management apparatus by the latter well within Pakistani border. However, the Afghanis in their delusional state of mind refuse to accept the Durand line (International border). The price was paid for by blood and sheer humiliation by the Afghans who now face a closed border which is the life line for imports of daily commodities and food in the landlocked country.

This delusional mental state of the war torn country results in frequent border clashes with Pakistani security forces. Post 9/11 Afghanistan with the American implanted puppet government in Kabul, supported by India, this situation is only worsening. In the latest round, the Afghanis retreated like every time in the past suffering heavy casualties and immense humiliation.

The Afghan National Army and Police comprises essentially of rag tags compiled using US money having limited fighting capability. The Afghan Armed Forces are no match to the well organized and equipped Pakistani forces which even possess a potent nuclear arsenal. The result of all future Afghanistan-Pakistan border skirmishes will remain the same as seen in Torkham a few days ago in which the Afghanis will retreat after getting severe beatings and humiliation.

But that won't change the Afghanis delusional mindset being sweet poisoned continuously by the Indians. So powerful is the spell of the Indian sorcerers, that the Afghanis have forgotten the only country in the world which provided them with shelter and livelihoods, whenthe Soviet empire ravaged Afghanistan.

Pakistan was awarded the UN recognition award being declared the world's most hospitable nation for providing care to the Afghan refugees since 1979 to the present date. The Pakistani economy and culture is still suffering from the aftershocks of that hospitality in the forms of unaccounted financial loss and violence. But the Afghans are willing to forget all that blaming Pakistan for everything wrong in their corrupt to the core, terror and drug infested society. Again Indian designs launched over decades of investments in Afghanistan and it's leadership are at play here.

India in her quest for regional hegemony has newly founded an affair with the US empire. The USA is desperate to counter the natural rise of China in the Asian Pacific region and for that reason alone, they have adopted India as a foster child. Pakistan is in the Chinese camp in this new game and that seems to be irritating the US greatly. Indian animosity towards Pakistan may be historical in nature, but serves the US cause with them providing all out support to India in her quest for regional hegemony.

India is conducting an intensive clandestine operation against Pakistan from Afghan soil. Indian public money is being used through the Afghan intelligence apparatus to hire mercenaries under the banners of Tehreek e Taliban Pakistan, Baluchistan Liberation Army and other target based splinter groups. Recently apprehended senior Indian intelligence officer Kalbushan Yadev has given away the entire Indian designs of his country against Pakistan. As per this Indian Navy officer serving on deputation with Indian Intelligence agency, RAW, India is involved in extensive subversive terrorism inside Pakistan.

Indian nefarious designs are spread all over Pakistan commissioning huge resources like Pakistani political parties rogue elements in it's largest metropolis and religious fanatics like Fazullah, who ordered the attack on Malala. Indian national security adviser Ajit Doval makes no secret of it while he boasts about hiring the Pakistani Taliban to sabotage the Pakistani state.

Pakistan has tried its very best to make amends from their past after taking a U turn on its Kashmir policy of supporting the insurgency there and supporting the Afghan Taliban government in Afghanistan under US pressure. However, these positive steps by Pakistan only encouraged India to utilize the same resources Pakistan had abandoned to be used against them by India.

Afghanistan provided the perfect launch pad for India to sabotage the Pakistani state. More so, Afghanistan government is a willing  partner to the Indian designs against Pakistan for the sake of Indian money and due to US support for the Indian role in Afghanistan. The situation is only expected to escalate against Pakistan, while China-Pakistan Economic Corridor(CPEC) gets closer to its realization.

India won't give up on her hegemonic designs under the Chankiya philosophy it follows. US, scared of the Chinese rise, will only encourage India while strengthening bilateral strategic and defense ties, further strengthening the Indian resolve.

Nationalist feelings in China in response to the US bullying is also on the rise. China clearly understands the Indian malicious intent while it retains its policy of engagement with all friends and foes irrespective. China is awaiting the realization of the One Belt One Road project, which would drastically cut the US influence in the Asia Pacific region. The US maintains her ascendancy primarily through the control of sea routes patrolled by the US Navy. As and when the Chinese One road one belt project is completed, The US will be forced to reconcile with the Chinese ascendancy in the Asia Pacific region. China will obtain the regional super power status through the ground trade routes and modernization of the Chinese military currently in progress at fast pace. US empire on the other hand is torn internally maintaining its external influence on continued debt most of which is owned by China. Indian dreams of grandiose will take the plunge with the natural rise of China through its one belt one road project.

The flagship of Chinese designs of linking it's economy with Asia and becoming a power controlling two oceans, rests on the CPEC. It is but a matter of global repute and prestige for China to complete CPEC on time which spearheads the one belt one road project.

Pakistan is completely on board with China having left with no other choice and in its best national interest. Having said that, until such a time, the Chinese mega designs are not met through the completion of the entire one belt one road project coupled with the modernization of the Chinese military, Pakistan would be mostly on its own. Pakistan needs to devise a military and diplomatic strategy to counter the Indian nefarious designs which includes Pakistan's relation with the US and response to Afghanistan's delusional mindset.

It would be only wise for Pakistan to keep the US engaged in maybe bitter but functional diplomatic relationship. It is a compulsion for the US to maintain this relationship. Pakistan is a nuclear power having the capability to play havoc in the entire region if cornered to the extreme. The US maintains and operates its biggest foreign mission in the world from Islamabad while it no more enjoys the clout it once had in the country. There is no such thing as a free ride and the US must be told accordingly by Pakistan. In the meantime, the lobbying efforts in Washington is a step in the rite direction by Pakistan. The greed infested, easily led US political system can be managed through the use of hired lobbyists. It's a profitable investment for the time being keeping US belligerence to a manageable scale.

It would be pragmatic for Pakistan to entice Iran into forming a partnership. Pakistan needs not to engage in a hostile relationship with a country with which it has a shared history of cultural and economic cooperation. It is only in the Pakistani interest to pursue peace with Iran to stabilize respective Baluchistans in both countries. Shunning away the US pressure, Pakistan needs to complete its side of Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline upon which work is completed on the Iranian side but stalled in Pakistan. This project will provide strength to the bilateral ties opening further avenues of cooperation. Indian investment in Chahbahar port needs to be ignored for the time being as Chahbahar can never acquire the strategic importance Pakistan's Gawader port possesses.

Afghanistan needs to be taken to task aggressively by Pakistan. A Strict border management system must be placed on the Durand line by hook or by crook. Every border violation and aggressive move by Afghanis must be responded ten folds to teach them a lesson they must never forget. Pakistan have played the big brother enough only to suffer humiliation and pay through the blood of Pakistan's soldiers and civilians alike. Afghanistan must be given a taste of their own medicine. In future all vehicular traffic and goods being transited/exported into Afghanistan from Pakistan must be taxed and charged with all freight/transit charges. This will result in the Afghanis utilizing a three times more expensive route from Iran that they have signed up for with India. This should help to kick some sense into their delusional brains. It would also provide a huge benefit to the Pakistani economy currently being haunted by smugglers misusing the Afghani transit trade facility provided free of charge by Pakistan that succeeds in only destroying the Pakistani manufacturers market competitiveness.  

Pakistan needs to revive its selective assets within Afghanistan to counter the Indian presence actively. If India wishes to play the dirty game of covert black ops, then Pakistan needs to prove her worth by telling the Indians that Pakistan is seasoned in this game. Pakistan needs to covertly launch a counter strike against the Indian nefarious designs of bleeding Pakistan systematically.
India would never hold back until their own house is not put on fire. Pakistan must revitalize its offensive defense and exploit the inherent fault lines within the India state. Kashmir insurgency needs to be reinvigorated through logistically supporting the Kashmiri freedom fighters. Kashmir's freedom struggle has already been revived by the young educated Kashmiris bearing the flag now. They must be supported diplomatically on an international stage by Pakistan as well as providing them covert logistical support.

India's fragile hold on its side of Punjab also needs to be exploited by supporting the resurgence of the Khalistan movement. As well as the great political divide in India based on state politics must be utilized by Pakistan to spread discontent and internal strife in India in particular in the South Indian states. Pakistan also needs to convince China into taking active interest in the Maoist insurgency in India. Pakistan would be better served in strengthening the bridge between China and Sri Lanka through aggressive diplomacy.

Pakistan needs to further enhance her defense cooperation and transfer of modern technology with China. Through China; Pakistan may also approach the Russians to acquire modern defense technology. The Russians unlike the past are seriously dismayed over the Indian embrace of the US with whom they are fighting "the new Cold War" with.

Until then, China is able to rise out of the US led belligerence against it, Pakistan needs to survive in this world where only the fittest survive. The country has always risen out of the ashes to prove it's sustainability, and it must do so once again.


The future of global economy rest with Asia-Pacific. Pakistan is the only country which provides the critical linkages to the various Asian economies by connecting them through its ground and sea routes. The future belongs to Pakistan, only if its able to hold the present.....

Thursday 2 June 2016

Global Banking System- The Greatest Deception Ever

The global banking ( GBS ) system controls the entire world's economy through an intricate system of paper and wire transactions guaranteed by the state banks of their respective country. The banking system itself banks on the illusion of financial security created by promises of the merger of governments and the global banking system which is essentially not entirely backed by materials like gold. The beauty of this illusion called the banking system is to make people believe and accept the transactions and sales based on the exchange of fancy papers and plastic. The complete world trusts the system to the extent that lives and livelihood are almost entirely dependent on an illusion. If the global population decides to call their bluff at any stage, the whole world's financial system will collapse. This unholy merger simply does not have enough material possessions, to back the pieces of paper that they call money, that they are circulating in the world. Similar to the famous dialogue by Al Pacino in the movie devil's advocate, "The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was to convince the world, he didn't exist"  the greatest trick the GBS ever pulled, was to convince the world, the value of money exists. To top it all off, the GBS within themselves also believe in the same lie they tell the world. The whole system is a facade which has seemingly no alternative in the modern world as we are led to believe. This fake system is based on its global acceptance by the masses who are made to believe this lie by the GBS. Upon this great deception stands the world financial system. This great deception is recreated every time this system fails and consequently re-booted through bailouts based on the same lies we are lead to believe in.



As previously mentioned, the biggest financial crisis of modern times may be easily explained. The US mortgage crisis for instance was a system failure of the same set of lie upon lies which eventually became too big and ugly to remain hidden under the carpet. However, the managers of this great deception, that is the GBS again got a bailout by their unholy partners, the state/government while the real losers were the hundreds of thousands of poor people who lost their homes and were forced out on to the streets. 

The most dangerous aspect of this great deception is the fact that essentially, the entire GBS is owned by a set of few families. These families hold the keys to the real power in the world based on the system they govern. Through this system, these families control the governments which in turn control their respective population. In essence these elite families rule the world, utilizing the which is in fact based on the greatest deception mankind has to ever live with. These thirteen or so families among themselves holds the reigns of the world based on a system of paper money. This system or deception as it really is stands to benefit the capitalist financial order, where the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.

The GBS doesn't challenge the writ of these elite families by calling their bluff and demanding the value of paper money in totality, there is no end to the greatest deception man has ever lived. Having said that, an eventuality as such would definitely cause a global collapse of the deception based financial system. It would mean chaos, plunder, loot and bloodshed. 

The only way to reject the mentioned deception of the GBS is to substitute paper money with precious metals and commodities. It would return the speculative financial system governed by the banking sector into real materials which will be calculated on ground. This is the only method through which the manipulation of the entire world's economy can be stopped. It would end the concept of inflation which is the biggest cause of poverty in the world. It would take control of mankind's livelihood from the thirteen families and their pawns, and give it back to the working class through transparent and fair exchange of goods based on valuable materials for example gold and silver standard coins. It would  give a jolt to the GBS seeing as they don't possess the value of paper money that they guarantee. This means the banking cartels or the families controlling the banks would go bankrupt hence lose control of their hegemony on the global economic order. 

The entire system would have to be re-booted from scratch and brought back to life with a new set of rules and practices. Barter trade will have to replace the paper money wire transfers and electronic transactions. This system will increase productivity which would create enough jobs to employ the unskilled global population to end poverty in the world. It would enhance global food production helping eliminate hunger from the world. 

The world would be most definitely better off, rather flourish without the global banking system as it stands today. The default rule of the thirteen banking families would end over the world, promoting peace. The military industrial complex thriving on war is also governed by these family enterprises. The greatest deception the world ever suffered from, needs to end, if the human race requires peace and prosperity.