Pakistan Establishes Credible Deterrence Towards India Through Nuclear Weapons

The state of Pakistan officially announced the deployment of its tactical nuclear weapons program through their foreign office. It was specified that the operational nature of this nuclear arsenal is targeted towards India. It was acknowledged that India has conventional military superiority over Pakistan. This conventional imbalance created by billions of dollars spent by India on defense spending has been rendered ineffective by the deployment of Pakistani tactical or low yield smaller warheads loaded over highly sophisticated and diverse launching mechanisms. The reason for raising the stakes in the South Asian Nuclear standoff by Pakistan is the Indian aggressive designs for the region. Indian offensive designs recently had been directed towards the idea of "quick time" limited multi pronged attacks on Pakistan, gaining grounds while still avoiding the "nuclear threshold". It was termed as "Cold Start Doctrine" by the Indian military. The idea was evolved by Indian Military after their drastic failure to timely mobilize their forces in the Indo-Pak military standoff of 2001-02. The Indian movement were so clumsy that by the time the Indian Army was fully mobilized, Pakistan Army was already at their throats. Indian response was to build forward operational bases(FOB) on the Indo-Pak border to minimize the mobilization time. The "Cold Start Doctrine" plays with the idea of launching an attack on various fronts simultaneously from these FOBs while mobilization is under progress. The other, more sinister response by India was to launch a proxy war against Pakistan, from Afghanistan by hiring the "Islamic Ideological Mercenaries a.k.a Pakistani Taliban". Afghanistan state intelligence apparatus helped India conduct this proxy war within the full knowledge of the US spooks. This situation forced the Pakistani military to move forces away from the Indian front to counter the terrorism onslaught brought upon by Indian money and Afghan intelligence support. This reinforced the Indian "Cold Start Doctrine" which also implies the destruction of Pakistani conventional military capability through sheer conventional superiority of India. Pakistani conventional military force is undeniably the center of gravity of Pakistani State and symbolizes her federation. If India would be successful in her designs and damages the Pakistani conventional forces effectively through numerical advantage, it may break Pakistan's core defense against all odds. Pakistan in such a scenario would become a place which many paranoid Indian influenced analyst try to make others believe, a rogue nuclear arsenal open to the Jihadis. This perceived scenario in Indian assessment would warrant an international intervention to secure the nuclear arsenal hence disintegrating Pakistan as per the ambitious US sponsored Indian chartered "day dreams".

India spent fortunes on their policy of isolating Pakistan through a proxy war killing thousands of Pakistanis and building mega military infrastructure for their "Cold Start Doctrine". Pakistan took the punishment only to prove her resilience and core strength to the world by blunting every Indian move to their face. The Pakistan Army effectively neutralized the Indian hired mercenaries while paying with blood. However, this Indian proxy war made them the world's best counter insurgency force which is writing the actual COIN text book of successful operations. This Indian onslaught changed both the physical and mental posture of the Pakistani military after numerous beatings and years of war. Indian Army on the other hand by and large remains placid and fought their wars on paper.

Pakistan simply neutralized the Indian conventional numerical superiority by making it clear to India and the world, that if India attacks Pakistan, cold or hot, it would be responded by the destruction of every Indian assault formation through tactical nuclear weapons. If India wants to push their main nuclear buttons as a result, then Pakistan possess an effective second strike capability ensuring a MAD(Mutually Assured Destruction) scenario. No body in the world wants that now, do they?.

When it comes to defending itself, the Pakistanis are as crazy a nation as any other you would get out there. The Pakistanis understand and accepts the cost of their defense against the Indian aggression with whom they have fought three all out wars and is currently fighting a prolonged proxy war. The Pakistani nation is ready to pull the nuclear trigger if it comes to that and are strangely comfortable with the idea. The same however, can not be said for the Indians who have much more to loose in every respect in a MAD scenario with Pakistan. Pakistan played their cards well and did the job in millions while dumping Indian billions down the drain they had spent building a redundant military conventional superiority.

The US acknowledges the Pakistani superior geopolitical situation after success in their counter insurgency war. The US however, lacks the clout they once had over this part if the world under growing Chinese/Russian influence. The US owes this situation to herself after losing trillions of US money in it's war for influence in the Middle East and Afghanistan. The US corporate made huge money in the dirty oil wars while it was paid for by the American taxpayers and the loss of American servicemen's lives in the thousands. If only the US had not invaded Iraq under the false pretext of WMD's, they could have succeeded in Afghanistan. However It's not to be thanks to the US corporate greed. The United States now stands to lose their entire influence in the critical region of Asia pacific if it fails to create India as a regional hegemony as a counter weight to the Chinese/Russian influence. As always the US policies are influenced by the corrupt able lobbying system of democratic America which enforces the argument that democracy is seriously overrated under the US model. India possess serious lobbying strength enforced through hard cash in Washington , but the Chinese far superseded Indian's in influence in the corridors of power at capital hill. The US economy is heavily indebted to China hence it can only maneuver behind the curtains as it is doing now to create an allied counterweight to check the rise of the Red Empire. It is not in the Chinese national interest to allow the United States the freedom to let India become a regional hegemony even in South Asia. The Chinese response is a fifty billion dollar investment into the Pakistani economy linked to the China Pakistan Economic Corridor  (CPEC). China also build and operates the Pakistani deep sea port of Gawadar with it's naval presence as allowed by Pakistan. This makes China a direct stakeholder in the security of Pakistan rendering the Indian desire backed by the US ineffective to say the least.

The future of any armed conflict in South Asia is nothing but MAD scenario which can not be afforded by the globe foremost by India. Currently the Hindu fundamentalist government led by Narendra Modi is too short sighted to lead the Indians in these times of changing alliances and is failing it's people by not realising the true potential of establishing peaceful relationship with Pakistan and letting go of it's hegemonic desires. The Indian foreign policy and domestic Hindu thinking have deep routed imprints of a dead man called Chankiya. Until the time the Indians don't come out of the shadows of their past and overcome the fear that they have of the Muslim rulers who were the first to rule united India and did so for centuries, India won't see the modern dynamics of the emerging world. Confronting China for an ally sitting across the seven seas is far worse than co-operating with the same China which happens to be not only their neighbour but also the second biggest global economy fast riding to become the first biggest economy.

Even if India fails to realise the ground realities,it won't change anything. China is emerging as a global super power flexing it's muscles for the first time. Chinese military build over in the South China sea and it's economic/ military investments in Pakistan symbolise the mentioned muscle flexing from across North to South by the Red Empire. It's not only a matter of prestige for China but also a matter of national interest that it proves to the world, it's strength and worth by finishing off what they have already started. Pakistan has gained critical Geo political importance as result of the Chinese aspirations and is completely aligned with the Chinese camp. while the US is still welcome as a partner in the progress of the region, it will never hold the influence it once had. This makes the sponsorship that the US affords to India relatively ineffective. The Indians have yet again been trumped by Pakistan due to the official declaration of the death of their Cold Start Doctrine through Pakistani tactical nuclear weapons deployment targeted at the Indian conventional superiority.


The global economies at present are in favour of The people's Republic of China. The Chinese can be seen to have a deep rooted investment within Pakistan. This interest is also a reason for the desire of peace and security in the region especially in Pakistan. Any threat by India to destabilize Pakistan will be India's direct confrontation with not only Pakistan itself but also with China who's financial investment and interests need to be protected at all costs. India will either have to see this and concentrate on building trade ties with China, Central Asia and beyond like the Chinese belt and road initiative or face economic isolation. However that's where Pakistan comes in as the Indian ground access to most of the said regions goes through Pakistan. Pakistan will never grant the Indians any ground access till such time durable peace between India and Pakistan on equal terms is not established. India can forget about muscling their way in after failure to break the Pakistani resilience in a proxy war and success of Pakistan in nullifying their conventional strength through a sophisticated nuclear arsenal deployment. The sooner the Indians comes to their senses, the better as it is for them. This is not a one of their Bollywood movie which would have a happy ending for them despite choosing the path they are on. The sponsors of Indian aggressive regional designs of hegemony have the least to lose here, but it is India itself which would suffer the most whilst pursuing the anti Pakistan rhetoric.

On the 20th October 1947 in Lahore a  statement was given to the enemies of Pakistan in the shape of a prophecy given by a dying man. In the words of Quaid e Azam Muhammad Ali Jinnah, the founding father of the Pakistani nation, " There is no power on earth that can undo Pakistan, it has come to stay".