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Monday 31 October 2016

How China is Reshaping the World-South Asia in Particular


With China possessing wads of surplus cash to spare, after years of super fast economic growth, the Chinese designs of rising as a superpower essentially revolves around, creating hegemony through economic integration and investments. The trillions of dollars of investment in  the Chinese "One Belt One Road(OBOR)" initiative by China is a step towards the same direction.

China is quietly working on buying wide ranging influence by creating an economic hegemony around the globe which already includes investments in the USA, Latin America, Europe, Asia and resource rich Africa. With the future of global economy resting in Asia Pacific region, China is currently focusing her economic ingress into the Asian Pacific region.

The OBOR initiative thus revolves around two basic endeavours by the Chinese planners. Firstly the OBOR aims at integrating the Asian Pacific and Euro-Asian economies by linking it with Chinese mainland through direct road and rail links spreading the Chinese economic hegemony in these regions. Secondly and most importantly OBOR will provide an alternative to China to sea trade routes dominated by the mighty US Navy giving the last punch to knock out US global prowess.

The host countries involved in the Chinese designs with the exception of very few are welcoming the overall impact of the Chinese plans. Opposed to the US model of global hegemony based on military might, wars and unnecessary bloodshed, they see the Chinese model of hegemony through economic integration as highly beneficial for this model creates jobs and progress in their countries.

China is working to resolve regional disputes through dialogues and investments where possible to create favourable conditions for their economic hegemony like recently noticed in the case of the Philippines breaking traditional ties with the USA to join the Chinese camp. On other instances Chinese strategy is based on military and proxy confrontation, like in the case of USA and Japan, where these country's populations are unwilling to comprehend the ground reality that the USA is no-more the sole super power of the world and the uni-polar world order is dead. Chinese military build up in South China sea and the refusal of North Korea to give away its nuclear arsenal is a point in this case displaying the underlying Chinese designs.

The US led western strategy is essentially based on creating India as a counterweight to the rise of the Chinese Empire. However, India is in no position to oblige the US desires irrespective of a deep rooted desire to do so. India is an impoverished country which simply does not possess the muscle to either economically match the Chinese monetary prowess or militarily fight a two front war with China at one side and her staunchest ally Pakistan on the other side. While Pakistan desires to confront India with the Chinese help in the backdrop of a traditional arch rivalry, Chinese interests yet again dictate the requirements of economic integration for the region, with both India and Pakistan being her neighbouring countries.

China is thus quietly, but surely working to resolve differences with India which would indirectly encourage Pakistan to follow suit. China simply cannot afford to let three countries including them-self having potent nuclear arsenals jump to the guns, destroying the regional economy on whose integration the very rise of China as a global superpower depends upon. That's why China is secretly but forcefully wooing India to join the Chinese OBOR initiative. India is so far not only resisting to join the OBOR but working to sabotage the pivotal artery of the mega project, which is "China Pakistan Economic Corridor(CPEC)". Irrespective of all this and Pakistani security establishment's apprehensions, China is working with Pakistani politicians in toe to create an environment for peaceful resolution of disputes in the region.

 China is enticing India to join OBOR, but India is increasingly apprehensive of her rising hegemony, in particular being boasted to confront China by the US/West. However, the USA will sooner than later have to start looking inwards and focus on her domestic failing infrastructure and related domestic economic issues, which will provide China with the much needed space to move in the Indian markets. India would be forced to join the OBOR by the free market economy it depends upon to survive. Chinese investments of trillions of dollars in their economies will force UK/EU to allow the Chinese domination as such while it is needless to say that Russia and rest of Chinese allies, in particular the BRICS economic alliance of which India is a part of, would side along with the Chinese interests.

Such a scenario will promote peace, prosperity and democracy in the region, which will ultimately work towards the benefit of respective populations. It would be a win all situation for everyone less the US designs and delusional Hindu ultra nationalists, but you can/t keep everyone happy but only try to do so.      



               

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