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Saturday 30 November 2013

The Game Of Wits- US Measures To Counter Chinese Influence In Post 2014 Afghanistan

The modern US global empire operates on a number of elements of consultations and research processes upon which it rightly invests in huge magnitudes. The diaspora of US think tanks and advisory bodies consisting of experts from around the globe are the backbone of this system of consultancy and advisory process bringing out deep rooted problem areas and their far fetched solutions. The sheer size of this effort consisted upon public-private initiatives at the US and the appeal to global academician to live and work in a country affording them considerable freedom of thought and speech makes this system a success. This scenario in turn produces world class research and classic troubleshooting solutions for the US global empire benefitting the US while maintaining it's global hegemony. Same holds true for the American technology superiority and resultant successes.

The scenario in post US/ISAF Afghanistan warranted a serious US response to counter the Sino-Pakistani alliance with the latter reinvigorating their influence in the region. The Pakistani supported proxies at Afghanistan so far proved to be a valuable asset for them even while the former faced the wrath of the US global empire and as a result  directly targeted by the Indian proxies causing thousands of casualties in Pakistan. But as per the clandestine policy directors at work in the nuclear armed Islamic Republic, it was a price worth paying for. This scenario brought Pakistanis hence their closest allies in the region, the Chinese in a position where they hold almost all the aces in post US boots on ground era at Afghanistan. United states' Indians protégé are least likely to hold the fort intact with the geographical obstacle between India and Afghanistan, that is Pakistan itself.

Aforementioned  situation required trouble shooting of the most creative nature by the US global empire managers at the Af-Pak and central Asian theatre. They turn to their brain power rightly called  the think tanks at America presenting the problem as it stood. The masters who are rightly the foundation of the American global supremacy comes up with a solution which is not only out of the box, but also brings humongous political mileage for the US administration and other parties involved in the process. the solution calls for Iran to actively engage at Afghanistan in support of their natural allies there, the US allied Northern Alliance, practically in power at Kabul. This would counter not only the Sino-Pakistani influence at Afghanistan but also most importantly provide an alternative road sea corridor to the land locked country via the Chahbahar port of Iran. Strategically this move also provides a commercial alternative to the Chinese made and operated deep sea port at Gawader Pakistan but that's another subject though.

As brilliant as the idea was, it was a tough nut to crack when it comes to selling the same to the Iran. The US\NATO troops operating at Afghanistan also are beneficiaries of any such arrangement with their logistic supplies flowing on the said trade routes. The Indians had already made a road link between Afghanistan and Iran anticipating this move well ahead under the directives of their US allies while they traditionally enjoy more than cordial relations with Iran. Still, to sell the idea was never possible under the Ahmadinejad administration. Comes the change of government and the desire of newly elected Iranian leadership to come back into global main stream. Time to strike, the US very cleverly offers Tehran a compromise on the nuclear agenda while leaking the information conveniently to the Saudis. The kingdom with their middle eastern hegemony in danger goes on all out offensive against any such compromise with Iran only in return getting a polite snub from the Americans. In the meantime US and the west compromises and halts the Saudi desired offensive at Syria under Putin's solid posture in support of Bashar Al Assad regime that is deeply allied with Iran. The Saudis in a limbo, reportedly approaches Moscow with an offer they think the Russians won't be able to refuse. A multi billion arms deal, Increased level of influence at Middle East and the security of the 2014bWinter Olympics at Russia from the Chechen rebels and Al-Qaeda in return for a regime change at Syria.....................................................  

The Russians are amused and perturbed at the last offer and rightly so as Saudis very unwittingly acknowledged their direct support/contacts with the insurgents within Russia . In order to teach Saudis a lesson in international power politics, they decide to leak the info in convenience or maybe as a great stroke of luck for/with the US to the Iranians. The situation puts Tehran's leadership to test, they are now but forced to agree with the US offer conveyed through the Indians to sign a deal providing the passage from the Chahbahar port to Kabul. What a game plan and awesome execution is all I can comment. kudos to the US think tanks for coming out with a plan as great as this and shame on Saudis for falling out of wisdom and grace for their lust of power, which is always so easily manipulated...........................................        

      

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