The Game Of Wits- US Measures To Counter Chinese Influence In Post 2014 Afghanistan

The modern US global empire operates on a number of elements of consultations and research processes upon which it rightly invests in huge magnitudes. The diaspora of US think tanks and advisory bodies consisting of experts from around the globe are the backbone of this system of consultancy and advisory process bringing out deep rooted problem areas and their far fetched solutions. The sheer size of this effort consisted upon public-private initiatives at the US and the appeal to global academician to live and work in a country affording them considerable freedom of thought and speech makes this system a success. This scenario in turn produces world class research and classic troubleshooting solutions for the US global empire benefitting the US while maintaining it's global hegemony. Same holds true for the American technology superiority and resultant successes.

The scenario in post US/ISAF Afghanistan warranted a serious US response to counter the Sino-Pakistani alliance with the latter reinvigorating their influence in the region. The Pakistani supported proxies at Afghanistan so far proved to be a valuable asset for them even while the former faced the wrath of the US global empire and as a result  directly targeted by the Indian proxies causing thousands of casualties in Pakistan. But as per the clandestine policy directors at work in the nuclear armed Islamic Republic, it was a price worth paying for. This scenario brought Pakistanis hence their closest allies in the region, the Chinese in a position where they hold almost all the aces in post US boots on ground era at Afghanistan. United states' Indians protégé are least likely to hold the fort intact with the geographical obstacle between India and Afghanistan, that is Pakistan itself.

Aforementioned  situation required trouble shooting of the most creative nature by the US global empire managers at the Af-Pak and central Asian theatre. They turn to their brain power rightly called  the think tanks at America presenting the problem as it stood. The masters who are rightly the foundation of the American global supremacy comes up with a solution which is not only out of the box, but also brings humongous political mileage for the US administration and other parties involved in the process. the solution calls for Iran to actively engage at Afghanistan in support of their natural allies there, the US allied Northern Alliance, practically in power at Kabul. This would counter not only the Sino-Pakistani influence at Afghanistan but also most importantly provide an alternative road sea corridor to the land locked country via the Chahbahar port of Iran. Strategically this move also provides a commercial alternative to the Chinese made and operated deep sea port at Gawader Pakistan but that's another subject though.

As brilliant as the idea was, it was a tough nut to crack when it comes to selling the same to the Iran. The US\NATO troops operating at Afghanistan also are beneficiaries of any such arrangement with their logistic supplies flowing on the said trade routes. The Indians had already made a road link between Afghanistan and Iran anticipating this move well ahead under the directives of their US allies while they traditionally enjoy more than cordial relations with Iran. Still, to sell the idea was never possible under the Ahmadinejad administration. Comes the change of government and the desire of newly elected Iranian leadership to come back into global main stream. Time to strike, the US very cleverly offers Tehran a compromise on the nuclear agenda while leaking the information conveniently to the Saudis. The kingdom with their middle eastern hegemony in danger goes on all out offensive against any such compromise with Iran only in return getting a polite snub from the Americans. In the meantime US and the west compromises and halts the Saudi desired offensive at Syria under Putin's solid posture in support of Bashar Al Assad regime that is deeply allied with Iran. The Saudis in a limbo, reportedly approaches Moscow with an offer they think the Russians won't be able to refuse. A multi billion arms deal, Increased level of influence at Middle East and the security of the 2014bWinter Olympics at Russia from the Chechen rebels and Al-Qaeda in return for a regime change at Syria.....................................................  

The Russians are amused and perturbed at the last offer and rightly so as Saudis very unwittingly acknowledged their direct support/contacts with the insurgents within Russia . In order to teach Saudis a lesson in international power politics, they decide to leak the info in convenience or maybe as a great stroke of luck for/with the US to the Iranians. The situation puts Tehran's leadership to test, they are now but forced to agree with the US offer conveyed through the Indians to sign a deal providing the passage from the Chahbahar port to Kabul. What a game plan and awesome execution is all I can comment. kudos to the US think tanks for coming out with a plan as great as this and shame on Saudis for falling out of wisdom and grace for their lust of power, which is always so easily manipulated...........................................        

      

The Cat Is Out Of The Bag_US Facilitation To Appoint New Taliban Leader At Pakistan-Impact On The Riegon

The drone strike taking down Hakim Ullah Mehsud, Leader of the banned terrorist organization Tehrik E Taliban Pakistan (TTP), by a US predator killed two birds with an arrow for them. firstly they successfully halted the peace process the Pakistani Politicians were embarking upon with the Talibans while creating a rift between the  Paksitani Taliban's terror victims including a huge chunk of the Military and those wise enough to realize that a political settlement is the only viable solution to the internal conflict of the country as proven by history of such conflicts around the globe. Secondly, with US puppet regime at Kabul's backed Maulana Fazullah taking over the TTP has killed any chance of a durable peace accord keeping in view the fanatic track record of this terrorist leader and proven enmity with the Army. Maulana Fazullah most recently humiliated the Pakistan Army by killing their General Officer Commanding at Swat, the former's stronghold from where he was forcefully expelled after suffering huge losses by the hands of the Pakistani Army.

A day before the Pakistani Federal government delegation was to meet the slain Taliban leader amidst controversies and contradictions on the proposed talks, Hakim Ullah Mehsud, the focal leader representing the Taliban extremists was targeted successfully by the US drone strike. This attack at one side disrupted the talks for the peace between the Pakistani state and extremist group TTP and on the other hand saw hundreds of thousands of Pakistanis cheering the US strike that killed a man responsible for spilling the blood of their numerous countrymen. Again the contradiction particular to the Pakistani society was witnessed during which Maulana Fazullah was made the new TTP chief by the extremist terror organization.

After the two years reign of terror in the scenic valley of Sawat, Maulana Fazullah was thrown out to the neighboring Afghanistan by the Pakistan Army offensive against the Talibans, killing and capturing hundreds of them in the process. Fazullah swore revenge and attacked the Pakistani forces on the latter's home ground from across the border. This process as claimed by credible Pakistani military and intelligence sources who talked to this scribe was facilitated by the Afghan intelligence with finances and logistics provided by the Indian intelligence agencies operating openly across the Pakistani western borders, inside Afghanistan in the garb of Indian "cultural centers" at Afghanistan. Now the US ignorance of the same is not comprehendible under any logical reasoning, knowing their role and influence in Afghanistan. The rationale for the US action or lack of same  can be attributed to their strongest desire to see India as their regional protégé in post US/NATO withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan creating a counterweight to the Sino-Pak alliance.

The move of Fazullah becoming the TTP chief will only help create destabilization in Pakistan, which  pragmatically speaking is a quid pro quo, when it comes to the Pakistanis supporting the Afghan Talibans and facilitating their operations at Afghanistan through the Pakistani mainland. However, in this bloody game of violent clandestine/covert proxy war between regional and global powers, the blood of the innocent will spill on for the time being while Pakistan Inc will hold the upper edge with the Chinese at their back and Afghan Talibans in their pockets. This assumption is also augmented by the fact that Pakistani resilience is still intact after record terrorist attacks on it's soil killing thousands of them in the process but maintaining their limitless "punishment taking ability" . The Indo-US alliance lacks the potential to sustain the backlash in post US/NATO boots on ground era where Indians will stay put or as expected out of them. Under the scenario, Indian's will have to support their Afghan hosts who mainly consists of the Karzai puppet regime and northern alliance whose forces, though defiant are still unable to contain the Afghan Taliban's assault. In short, after the departure of US forces from Afghan soil, the Indians are expected by the former to hold fort. Frankly speaking, this is least to say but a highly idealistic  plan which is in vast contradiction with the ground realities in the so called AfPak region.

The US on the verge of their exit from Afghanistan realizes these ground facts but is forced to follow their Indian support policy in creating a so far non existent counterweight to the growing Chinese influence in the region being the latter's immediate suburbs. The game the US is playing is based on the cards of bluff which is diabolical in essence. Calling the bluff is only a matter of time. The energy rich region which is target of this proxy war is practically the backyard of China and it's strongest current ally Russia. With the valuable ground resources being offered to the Chinese by their time trusted Pakistani allies it is again a matter of time before the Chinese will call the US bluff to end their regional hegemony, hence curtailing the Indians back to their wholes. Since it's a matter of time and showing resilience in the face of aggression like sponsored terrorism, both China and Pakistan have proven to stand steadfast so far. The bluff will be called and the sand castles will have to fall, US and their protégé must keep that in mind..................................................