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Tuesday 14 May 2013

Study of Demographic Voting Patterns- Elections 2013- Pakistan

In consequence of Elections 2013, held on May 11th, Pakistan choose a new government set to take over power. The results were highly expected and not much of a surprise. Pakistan Muslim League- Nawaz (PMLn) took the lead while the novices Imran Khan's PTI emerged as the runners up. Pakistan Peoples Party was punished by the public for their poor performance in power and marginalized as a regional party of rural Sindh only. The only surprise came in the shape of Khyber Pakhtonkhwa (KPk) province ex ruling party Awami National Party (ANP), which irrespective of the personal sacrifices made by its leaders was almost completely rejected by the Pakhtuns over Imran's PTI.

 A brief analysis of the voting trends and patterns aside the 10-15% rigging essentially at the metropolis of Karachi and somewhat at Punjab only proves the conformist approach of Pakistani population.

Urban Sindh either by hook or through crook elected the remotely controlled  MQM( Muthadha Qaumi Movement), however with a controversial mandate this time. Rural Sindh sided with the expected party i-e, Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP). Pakistan Tehreek e Insaaf of Imran Khan emerged as visible runners up at urban sindh while the independents and nationalist parties were the real opposition at rural Sindh for PPP.
Baluchistan as usual saw a mixed selection with PMLn to their leadership's credit emerging as an equal partners with the nationalist parties marking a healthy trend for future political scenario of the province and country both.
Punjab being the battleground for ultimate race for Islamabad voted as usual in traditional patterns. Punjabis voted for the stronger contender that was PMLn. However PTI emerged as a serious challenge to PMLn supremacy in the province and the country. It was only the novice leadership of PTI which stopped the party in gaining another 25-30 seats in the national assembly from across Punjab besides PMLn influence in the province established over their five years rule.
KPk in tradition with their past rejected ANP completely over a sloppy performance while in power with their coalition partners PPP. KPk in visible majority voted in favour of Imran Khan's PTI. However PMLn and the colourful cleric Fazul Ur Rehamn's party JUI also obtained considerable mandate from the province.

If PTI is successful in forming a government at KPk and implementing their proclaimed agenda in the province, they are well on their way to become the next governing party of Pakistan. However, it will be the litmus test for the novice party in order to prove their credibility in this regard which is directly linked with their future prospects in power politics of Pakistan. PMLn in the meantime after the celebrations will have to settle a shattering economy, law and order fiasco and severe power shortages across the country. These are the issues which will be detrimental in ascertaining the PMLn national solidity and prospective in power.  Least to say, both the parties are in for a turbulent ride.        

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