China Flexing Muscles

China has finally decided to shed away the policy of looking inward and is seemingly ready to flex her muscles. at least in it's regional theater. Chinese policy makers have already warned India, that their country is willing to get directly involved in the eventuality of any Indian aggression towards Pakistan. It is an indirect message to the USA, which is forming a strategic alliance with India to counter China.

China is not only re-affirming its economic commitment in the region but also is looking to confront the US designs to counter the rise of China in the region through military means if deemed necessary. Chinese response to the US aggression is at both diplomatic and strategic levels where China is forming new strategic alliances, essentially focusing on Asia. China has already established her mark in Africa and Latin America much to the discomfort of the USA. Chinese financial resources are making a limited, but highly potent ingress in the western technology businesses. Chinese flags are waving all across the global financial horizon while China is now extending this influence in the strategic spheres starting from her immediate neighborhood.  

China has rejected American influenced arbitration over the South China Sea by the ICJ even before the announcement of the judgement was made. The way international law works is by voluntary enforcement of decisions where nation states are involved. China's blunt refusal to obey any arbitrary rule of the ICJ means China is finally following in the USA's footprints in establishing regional hegemony.

China on its northern frontiers is building an artificial island in South China sea to station PLA modern war machinery on a very fast pace. In the South, they have reached the warm waters of the Arabian sea through the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The Chinese Navy will be stationed at the Pakistani port of Gawader. So much for the USA's plans of China's containment which essentially banks upon India.

The USA is fast  losing clout in the Chinese neighborhoods and it's evident. While the USA navy still controls the world seas and it's trading routes, China is claiming her own turf in the region. On the other hand Chinese President Xi Jingping's Iron Silk Route related infrastructure investments in Asia and Europe, are aimed at shifting the Asian Pacific and Euro-Asian trade, from sea to land routes. Such a scenario would drastically cut down the USA's influence over the global economy, whose future lies in the Asia Pacific. The CPEC will link the Middle Eastern region directly with the Chinese mainland. The Chinese economy is dependent on the energy resources from the Middle East while at the same time Chinese businesses are flourishing in the Middle Eastern markets.

THE CHINESE ONE BELT ONE ROAD INITIATIVE IS LOOKING TO CHANGE THE FACE OF EURO-ASIAN TRADE AND THE END OF THE USA'S INFLUENCE ON GLOBAL TRADE ROUTES.

The USA's response to the entire situation is an alliance with India to counter the rise of China. Indian capabilities to meet the USA's expectations as such are however limited and makes no impression on China being an established regional power.

Post Brexit United Kingdom with an investment of 80 billion US dollars and more by China is only paving the way in the Euro-Asian region for the rise of Sino-Russian alliance as global superpowers along with the USA. What we are looking at is the end of the uni-polar global world order into a multi polar global order led by the USA, Russia and China.

USA in her last ditch efforts are busy creating conflict in South Asia to hinder the rise of China by using the corrupt politicians and bribing India with  US transfer of military and aerospace technology. However, the Indo-US alliance is handicapped to meet its objective due to time and space factor in this global strategic competition. The USA is fast loosing steam after it's meaningless wars post 9/11 which resulted in the loss of trillions of dollars to the US economy. The political cost of the bloodshed killing millions of humans in these wars, fought under false flag agendas, is hurting the USA's global repute having it's impact on the USA's domestic theater. The USA's domestic infrastructure both at material and social spheres, requires an overhaul which would sooner than later force the USA to look inwards, loosing it's global policing to the new regional powers. China only knows this too well, and is patiently but steadily flexing her muscles to claim the space being lost by the USA in this strategic scenario. Pakistan is the prime example of this incurring phenomenon where China is fast gaining grounds abandoned by the USA.

The essential difference between the US and Chinese methods of exerting influence in various parts of the world, lies with the Chinese policies of investing in the host economies, generating profits and spreading prosperity as opposed to the USA's methods of wasting money through corrupt systems of   USAID and military intervention causing misery to the countries on the receiving end.          

The Only Solution For Kashmir

The foremost step in conflict resolution is accepting the existence of any conflict. The Hindu nationalist mindset in India is unwilling but forced to acknowledge by internal and external pressures, that, Kashmir is an unfinished agenda of the partition of the subcontinent in 1947. This is the first step towards a resolution of the Kashmir dispute.

The death of Burhan Wani by the hands of the Indian Army in Kashmir, sparked the recent wave of bloody protests in the Indian held Kashmir supported by demonstrations from across the line of control in Pakistan. These protests, on one hand exposed the Indian apartheid in Kashmir under their control and on the other hand globally established the Kashmir conflict as a political dispute being constantly ignored by the Indian government.

Most recently, throwing the Indian nationalist position on Kashmir in the dustbin, UN Chief, Ban ki-moon slams killings in India-held Kashmir and calls for India-Pakistan dialogue. The UNO is seemingly under intense pressure by the successful Pakistani led diplomacy which calls upon the resolution of the Kashmir dispute. The UNO is otherwise being heavily criticized for failing to resolve all issues relating to the Muslim world with an epic failure in Palestine, Libya, Syria and the list goes on. The global mainstream media  irrespective of their allegiances is forced to take notice of the plight of Kashmiris in the Indian held half of Kashmir where Indian security forces have thus far killed and maimed in-numerous Kashmiris in a freedom struggle supported by Pakistan. India is diplomatically and informatively being successfully cornered to accept the political nature of the Kashmir dispute. The global formal and informal media and diplomatic channels are on fire in efforts essentially led by Pakistan, but the blood of innocent Kashmiris shed by Indian security forces is the main fuel burning this fire.    

The Indian government is under intense public pressure from around the world to resolve the Kashmir dispute. Same pressure constitutes the reason for the Indian government's positive response to offer of talks by Pakistan. Such talks have been held in the past as well, without substantial results, but succeeded in establishing certain confidence building measures.

It is in the interest of the Pakistani government led by Nawaz Sharif to resolve the Kashmir dispute, for such a scenario would surely curtail the Pakistani security establishment's hold in the power dynamics of Pakistan. Indian government led by Narendra Modi has invested a lot of political capital in the government of Nawaz Sharif and makes no secret of this fact. Does this mean Kashmir will get Aazadi? (Freedom). Most likely not, as both India and Pakistan won't relinquish any territory under any circumstances while both countries are holding almost equal parts of Kashmir.

Another important geopolitical dimension of the Kashmir dispute is the Indo-US and Sino-Pak strategic alliances. Both these strategic alliances put the nuclear armed India and Pakistan on yet another conflict path in regard to Kashmiri territory. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor or CPEC is the most important element of The Chinese One Road One Belt (OBOR) initiative.The OBOR forms a strategic and mega-economic drive by China to free it's dependence on the South China Sea and the Straits of Malacca which fall under direct US influence. By linking the Chinese region of Xingjiang to the deep sea port of Gawader in Pakistan, China has already found an alternative to the trade and commerce route with the Middle Eastern region and the rest of the world. In this regard, China is in the process of investing 46 million US Dollars in Pakistan for the development of the CPEC which also passes through the Pakistani controlled territory of what was originally part of Kashmir.

The entire situation gives China an ace in global geopolitics, fast tracking her rise as a superpower. This obviously doesn't sit well with the USA,  hence India is playing the part of the USA's strategic partner to openly confront the Chinese-Pakistan designs regarding the CPEC. However, this particular scenario has brought China in the picture as a direct stake holder in the Pakistani security interests. A headache again, for India and USA for sure, but there is only a limit until you can sabotage a nation which is dedicated to making a project of such magnitude a success. Both China and Pakistan under no circumstances will back down on the CPEC. China's prestige as a regional power and her desire to become a global superpower essentially rests on the success of OBOR, as well as the result of the South China Sea dispute to which the CPEC is an alternative.  India can either join in the development as offered by China or keep nagging and waging the proxy war it has already started against the project from Afghanistan through the mercenary elements that are available there in abundance.

Re-focusing back on to the Kashmiri dispute, and its just resolution, the only viable solution is to allow free movement between both sides of Kashmir in staged phases. This is in the national interests of China, India and Pakistan however negating USA. In doing so, India may join the OBOR project through the CPEC via Kashmir linking the two biggest global economies of the world. It would not only provide relief to the human tragedies of the Kashmiri people, but would boost the regional economy too. Such a solution to the Kashmir dispute would slowly but surely diminish the decades old rivalry between China-Pakistan and India creating a stable region and bringing in global investments, not to mention the people in the most populous part of the world would be able to live, free of fear, hate and constant war mongering.

It is the only viable solution to the the Kashmir dispute provided the nationalists and hawks in both India and Pakistan give a break to their ego based and testosterone fueled decisions.                   

THANK YOU MR MODI

Indian PM Mr Narendra Modi giving his independence day speech at New Delhi, India on 15 August 2016.

Indian PM Narendra Modi in his speech on independence day validated following: 

1. Pakistan's claims about Indian intervention in #Baluchistan.

 
2. Kashmiri population's stance that India is least interested in allowing their democratic rights.

3. India seeks confrontation in the region.

On top of that, India finally provided a valid reason for Pakistan to act against India to counter the threat India posed to her security.

Mr Modi single handedly destroyed the Pakistani segment of society propagating India_Pakistan peace and at the same time united the divided Pakistani population over an all out counter offensive to Indian aggression.

Pakistani hawks, but only have sincere thanks to Mr Modi for professing their point of view.

In the end, it is no more about India and Pakistan, but after the advent of #CPEC project, China has direct stakes in the security of Pakistan. India May be able to tackle Pakistan, but to take on China and Pakistan both simultaneously is simply not possible for India, even sitting in the American lap.

China has its reputation as a regional power at stake once it comes to Pakistan. If China can't prove to be a regional power, than no one will take their rise as a superpower seriously in entire globe. Chinese only know it too well. That's the reason Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson,talking to the media few days ago said, "Pakistan is to China, what Israel is to the United States".

India is playing a very dangerous game by targeting Pakistan in a proxy war, commissioning the Taliban Frankenstein through Afghanistan. It had almost worked for India, if only, Pakistanis didn't know how to play the game they invented themselves better.

Indian Machiavelli tactics,or shall we say Chankiya doctrine, will only come back to haunt India. Its only a matter of time and nerves, which the Pakistanis displayed to be on their side time and again. 

As for India's newly found love affair with America, in the words of the famous Pakistani President Field Marshall Ayub Khan, "It is dangerous to be the enemies of United States, but, it is even deadlier to be their friends".

Modi and his Devil's Advocate Ajit Doval did it again by unleashing their dog Altaf Hussain yesterday, who was tasked to bark against the very country he feeds on. It was done so as that the security establishment respond by killing the few thugs left in Karachi still supporting Altaf's MQM, and provides India with a reason to launch a media campaign targeting Pakistan and it's security establishment. The move backfired yet again just like #Baluchistan, essentially resulting in uniting #Pakistan, in particular against India and Altaf's #MQM in Karachi. 

Indian efforts to divert attention from #Kashmir are repeatedly being blunted by mature response by Pakistani establishment.

Only vicious card now left with the devil's advocate remains to be the mercenaries called Taliban.