Pakistan Establishes Credible Deterrence Towards India Through Nuclear Weapons

The state of Pakistan officially announced the deployment of its tactical nuclear weapons program through their foreign office. It was specified that the operational nature of this nuclear arsenal is targeted towards India. It was acknowledged that India has conventional military superiority over Pakistan. This conventional imbalance created by billions of dollars spent by India on defense spending has been rendered ineffective by the deployment of Pakistani tactical or low yield smaller warheads loaded over highly sophisticated and diverse launching mechanisms. The reason for raising the stakes in the South Asian Nuclear standoff by Pakistan is the Indian aggressive designs for the region. Indian offensive designs recently had been directed towards the idea of "quick time" limited multi pronged attacks on Pakistan, gaining grounds while still avoiding the "nuclear threshold". It was termed as "Cold Start Doctrine" by the Indian military. The idea was evolved by Indian Military after their drastic failure to timely mobilize their forces in the Indo-Pak military standoff of 2001-02. The Indian movement were so clumsy that by the time the Indian Army was fully mobilized, Pakistan Army was already at their throats. Indian response was to build forward operational bases(FOB) on the Indo-Pak border to minimize the mobilization time. The "Cold Start Doctrine" plays with the idea of launching an attack on various fronts simultaneously from these FOBs while mobilization is under progress. The other, more sinister response by India was to launch a proxy war against Pakistan, from Afghanistan by hiring the "Islamic Ideological Mercenaries a.k.a Pakistani Taliban". Afghanistan state intelligence apparatus helped India conduct this proxy war within the full knowledge of the US spooks. This situation forced the Pakistani military to move forces away from the Indian front to counter the terrorism onslaught brought upon by Indian money and Afghan intelligence support. This reinforced the Indian "Cold Start Doctrine" which also implies the destruction of Pakistani conventional military capability through sheer conventional superiority of India. Pakistani conventional military force is undeniably the center of gravity of Pakistani State and symbolizes her federation. If India would be successful in her designs and damages the Pakistani conventional forces effectively through numerical advantage, it may break Pakistan's core defense against all odds. Pakistan in such a scenario would become a place which many paranoid Indian influenced analyst try to make others believe, a rogue nuclear arsenal open to the Jihadis. This perceived scenario in Indian assessment would warrant an international intervention to secure the nuclear arsenal hence disintegrating Pakistan as per the ambitious US sponsored Indian chartered "day dreams".

India spent fortunes on their policy of isolating Pakistan through a proxy war killing thousands of Pakistanis and building mega military infrastructure for their "Cold Start Doctrine". Pakistan took the punishment only to prove her resilience and core strength to the world by blunting every Indian move to their face. The Pakistan Army effectively neutralized the Indian hired mercenaries while paying with blood. However, this Indian proxy war made them the world's best counter insurgency force which is writing the actual COIN text book of successful operations. This Indian onslaught changed both the physical and mental posture of the Pakistani military after numerous beatings and years of war. Indian Army on the other hand by and large remains placid and fought their wars on paper.

Pakistan simply neutralized the Indian conventional numerical superiority by making it clear to India and the world, that if India attacks Pakistan, cold or hot, it would be responded by the destruction of every Indian assault formation through tactical nuclear weapons. If India wants to push their main nuclear buttons as a result, then Pakistan possess an effective second strike capability ensuring a MAD(Mutually Assured Destruction) scenario. No body in the world wants that now, do they?.

When it comes to defending itself, the Pakistanis are as crazy a nation as any other you would get out there. The Pakistanis understand and accepts the cost of their defense against the Indian aggression with whom they have fought three all out wars and is currently fighting a prolonged proxy war. The Pakistani nation is ready to pull the nuclear trigger if it comes to that and are strangely comfortable with the idea. The same however, can not be said for the Indians who have much more to loose in every respect in a MAD scenario with Pakistan. Pakistan played their cards well and did the job in millions while dumping Indian billions down the drain they had spent building a redundant military conventional superiority.

The US acknowledges the Pakistani superior geopolitical situation after success in their counter insurgency war. The US however, lacks the clout they once had over this part if the world under growing Chinese/Russian influence. The US owes this situation to herself after losing trillions of US money in it's war for influence in the Middle East and Afghanistan. The US corporate made huge money in the dirty oil wars while it was paid for by the American taxpayers and the loss of American servicemen's lives in the thousands. If only the US had not invaded Iraq under the false pretext of WMD's, they could have succeeded in Afghanistan. However It's not to be thanks to the US corporate greed. The United States now stands to lose their entire influence in the critical region of Asia pacific if it fails to create India as a regional hegemony as a counter weight to the Chinese/Russian influence. As always the US policies are influenced by the corrupt able lobbying system of democratic America which enforces the argument that democracy is seriously overrated under the US model. India possess serious lobbying strength enforced through hard cash in Washington , but the Chinese far superseded Indian's in influence in the corridors of power at capital hill. The US economy is heavily indebted to China hence it can only maneuver behind the curtains as it is doing now to create an allied counterweight to check the rise of the Red Empire. It is not in the Chinese national interest to allow the United States the freedom to let India become a regional hegemony even in South Asia. The Chinese response is a fifty billion dollar investment into the Pakistani economy linked to the China Pakistan Economic Corridor  (CPEC). China also build and operates the Pakistani deep sea port of Gawadar with it's naval presence as allowed by Pakistan. This makes China a direct stakeholder in the security of Pakistan rendering the Indian desire backed by the US ineffective to say the least.

The future of any armed conflict in South Asia is nothing but MAD scenario which can not be afforded by the globe foremost by India. Currently the Hindu fundamentalist government led by Narendra Modi is too short sighted to lead the Indians in these times of changing alliances and is failing it's people by not realising the true potential of establishing peaceful relationship with Pakistan and letting go of it's hegemonic desires. The Indian foreign policy and domestic Hindu thinking have deep routed imprints of a dead man called Chankiya. Until the time the Indians don't come out of the shadows of their past and overcome the fear that they have of the Muslim rulers who were the first to rule united India and did so for centuries, India won't see the modern dynamics of the emerging world. Confronting China for an ally sitting across the seven seas is far worse than co-operating with the same China which happens to be not only their neighbour but also the second biggest global economy fast riding to become the first biggest economy.

Even if India fails to realise the ground realities,it won't change anything. China is emerging as a global super power flexing it's muscles for the first time. Chinese military build over in the South China sea and it's economic/ military investments in Pakistan symbolise the mentioned muscle flexing from across North to South by the Red Empire. It's not only a matter of prestige for China but also a matter of national interest that it proves to the world, it's strength and worth by finishing off what they have already started. Pakistan has gained critical Geo political importance as result of the Chinese aspirations and is completely aligned with the Chinese camp. while the US is still welcome as a partner in the progress of the region, it will never hold the influence it once had. This makes the sponsorship that the US affords to India relatively ineffective. The Indians have yet again been trumped by Pakistan due to the official declaration of the death of their Cold Start Doctrine through Pakistani tactical nuclear weapons deployment targeted at the Indian conventional superiority.


The global economies at present are in favour of The people's Republic of China. The Chinese can be seen to have a deep rooted investment within Pakistan. This interest is also a reason for the desire of peace and security in the region especially in Pakistan. Any threat by India to destabilize Pakistan will be India's direct confrontation with not only Pakistan itself but also with China who's financial investment and interests need to be protected at all costs. India will either have to see this and concentrate on building trade ties with China, Central Asia and beyond like the Chinese belt and road initiative or face economic isolation. However that's where Pakistan comes in as the Indian ground access to most of the said regions goes through Pakistan. Pakistan will never grant the Indians any ground access till such time durable peace between India and Pakistan on equal terms is not established. India can forget about muscling their way in after failure to break the Pakistani resilience in a proxy war and success of Pakistan in nullifying their conventional strength through a sophisticated nuclear arsenal deployment. The sooner the Indians comes to their senses, the better as it is for them. This is not a one of their Bollywood movie which would have a happy ending for them despite choosing the path they are on. The sponsors of Indian aggressive regional designs of hegemony have the least to lose here, but it is India itself which would suffer the most whilst pursuing the anti Pakistan rhetoric.

On the 20th October 1947 in Lahore a  statement was given to the enemies of Pakistan in the shape of a prophecy given by a dying man. In the words of Quaid e Azam Muhammad Ali Jinnah, the founding father of the Pakistani nation, " There is no power on earth that can undo Pakistan, it has come to stay".  

Global Game of Proxies-The New Cold War

  

The world we live in today has come of an age, where morality needs to be catered for by those in power and their pawns to satisfy the respective electorates/masses. Denial, counter accusations and falsifying facts through electronic media by systematic misinformation campaigns by states are the methods to achieve the stated goal of moral justification of their actions. The use of proxy forces enables the states to deny responsibility of any averse domestic or international public opinion. No matter how solid the proof of a state's sponsorship to any proxy exists, they can always declare such proof as conspiracy theories and dismiss them for their benefits. This ushers the era of hidden proxies commissioned to secure a state's open and underlying objectives. This also provided an opportunity to the mercenaries across the globe to make armed groups up for hire doing highly profitable business of spreading terror without accountability. The favourite ideology being exploited to create and emotionally fuel such proxies by their managers at large is the Islamic Jihadist theory. The theory is being utilized in its most distorted forms across the globe, in particular in the Middle East to run a business of blood and terror by the international ideological mercenaries. These groups are splinter outfits which forms the bigger terror apparatuses like the ISIS/Islamic State under the highest bidder commissioning them for their hidden agendas.

While it is apparent to the various national intelligence apparatuses as to who is working as a proxy for whom, it is also convenient enough for the state commissioning these proxies to deny their involvement at any time and abandon their proxy if things fall apart..

Media mouth pieces like Fareed Zikria and his clan are used by powerful states, in this case USA to spread misinformation like the said current affairs showman's recent piece accusing Pakistan of all the US failures in Afghanistan. Fareed Zakaria or anyone from the US sponsored media will always fail to tell their domestic audience that the Indian support to the Pakistani Taliban as their proxy has always been facilitated by the US. The USA desires to create India as a regional hegemony to counter the rise of China. This desire of the USA makes them blind to the proxy terror outfits India commissions against Pakistan which includes The Pakistani Taliban, Balouch Liberation Army, Balouch Liberation Front and even the funding of democratic militant party like the MQM in Karachi. How does the USA in it's right senses expect Pakistan to trust them in response. Pakistan supports the proxies like the Afghan Taliban in return while China fuels the Maoist insurgency in India. Russia supports the armed rebels in Ukraine under the same principles of this global game of proxies. None of the states mentioned above agree to the well known support they afford to their respective proxies.

The game is further complicated in the Middle Eastern theater with open and hidden proxies operating on the instruction of the USA, KSA and Arab monarchies, Turkey and Iran and Russia. The list to who supports whom and denies to support which groups is long and tedious. Every one is striving for influence in the oil rich region with the US fast loosing grounds after futile trillion dollar wars in Iraq in particular. Russia and Mr Putin is the new king on the ground in the Middle East whether the US likes it or not.

Afghanistan was never about democracy or a war on terror to begin with as the neutral observers note. It was always a Geo-strategic maneuver by the US to deploy forces in the very backyard of Russia and China. Afghanistan is the gateway to the energy rich Central Asian Republics but not without Pakistan which affords Afghanistan the access to seas being a land locked country. The only other access Afghanistan has is through a much lengthier route through Iran.

While the US and her allies in the "global game of proxies" are spending fortunes supporting groups like the rag tag Afghan Northern Alliance war lords or proxies in Syria opposed to the Assad regime, Russia nullified these humongous investments through one swift blow. This proves that if a state openly confronts these proxy mercenary outfits, only a few of these globally have the capability to survive. The said survival is essentially based on the geographic and terrain configurations of their dispositions. Afghan Taliban continues to thrive irrespective of the US Armed Forces open assault against them. This is due to the close geographical support from neighbouring states like China and Pakistan and also part due to the mountainous terrain giving them excellent cover and hideouts for men and material. The East it seems is winning the "Global Game of Proxies" so far.

The situation in this war of proxies is highly unfavourable for the US camp as the US corporate greed bogged their government down in the "Oil Wars" which essentially benefited the corporations at the cost of US monetary deficits and loss of US servicemen's lives in the thousands. It only matters to the US domestic audience for what their government is selling them to believe, however it's clear as crystal to the outside world. The USA has fallen from grace and fallen hard. The Russia-China camp is thriving and winning key alliances of key states which really matter in this global tussle. Pakistan has pledged direct allegiances to China hence partly enters the Russian camp. The Arab monarchies are fast loosing clout owing to domestic conditions not favouring their rules while global oil prices have introduced the term of budget deficits to them. The UK in an unprecedented move have joined the Chinese economic camp which will ultimately force them to support Chinese rise in the Asia Pacific much to their American cousins dismay. Things are not looking good for US who is placing all their bets on India to steer their objectives in Asia pacific. India on the other hand is being led by a psychotic leader Mr Modi who thrives on religious extremism. All the US based western financial institutions are making India look like an up and coming economic powerhouse of Asia, but the institutions in Asia who control the actual money do not buy the rubbish their western counterparts are selling regarding India. India has thousands of miles to travel just to rival China and her influence in Asia and only Pakistan with her nuclear arsenal is enough to keep the Indian hegemonic designs supported now by the USA at bay.


The USA's key allies in the Middle East being KSA and other small Arab monarchies are holding on to power in their sand castles which won't hold if full blown averse winds start blowing from the aggressive posturing by Mr Putin which will ultimately be supported by China and her allies. The only credible Muslim Military is unwilling to support or act as a proxy of the Arab monarchies as displayed by the popular slap of refusal to send Pakistani Military by the Pakistani Parliament to fight the war in Yemen at the Arab's insistence. If the Arabs think the Indian or any other western military like the US will come and fight their wars, then they must consider the internal instability they would face by such actions allowing the forces that are considered infidel by their indigenous populations. As for fighting their wars themselves, the Arabs need decades of military training and competence to achieve the minimum desired level in using the expensive war toys they bought from the west/US. The Arab rulers know this well enough and therefore support proxies extensively to fight their war of influence in the Middle East essentially fought versus Iran.

Iran is a success story in this "Global Game of Proxies". Even though they used minimum money they have achieved maximum influence through ideology to support their proxies. Iran provides moral, material and personal support to its proxies like "Hizbullah" for example. Iranian proxies enforced through ideology and controlled through Iranian military personal in their midst are very different then the Sunni ideological proxies. Like the latter, the Iranian proxies are not up for sale to the highest bidder but operates like an institution with solid organization and discipline. All other proxy setups in the globe lack the resolve and sustenance of the Iranian proxies. Iran is already in the Russian camp in a conflict of influence between US camp and Russo-Chinese camp, may you call it the new cold war or The Global Game of Proxies.

The future of the global economic powerhouse depends upon who controls the Asia pacific as the next century belongs to the same power who is able to do so. The USA acknowledges the same and in coalition with her allies is playing the New Cold War or The Global Game of Proxies to maintain their uni-polar status in the world. However, the US economy can not afford her grand desires. Key US allies are forging their independent economic alliances with China. Regional organizations like "SCO" and economic institutions like "AIIB"(Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank) are shaping the future of Asia pacific under the Russo-Chinese designs. The US and her subordinates like India will either follow suit or suffer in silence ultimately. This is a war of superior politics and the traditional ideological alliance of Russia and China is winning it discretely with the support of many small but potent allies and proxies as such. To conclude, in the words of the great Chinese philosopher statesman Mao Zedong:-
                 
                     "Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed"