This is my fourth and final article in the series about the subject in which I intend to analyse in my humble opinion the future of this dynamic bilateral relation between the Peoples Republic of China and the Islamic Republic of Pakistan and the effect this relatioship bears over the regoinal and global geopolitical contours. Earlier we discussed the vibrant history, forced and voluntary anology and the happening proceedings of this diverse relationship in detail. Although no one individual can present a prophesy about what holds the future for China in particular and the Sino-Pak relation in general but the signs are there for everyone to read and analyse painting a picture of what is the most likely outcome of the complete scenario. Let us first discuss these open and hidden signs before we present any prognosis. The signs or observations essentially effecting any future outcome evident and obscure under the curtain are as appended below:-
> The Chinese although are a regoinal military and global economic power house but in no way matches the conventional military might of the sole super power they intend to compete. This difference needs atlest five decades to be bridged but by than the US Global Empire might have further advanced in these feilds. It's a tough race for the Chinese least to say and interstingly enough, they know it clearly where they stand. Considering this fact the US global enterprise is a tough nut to crack when they have decided to forestall the Chinese designs for a superpower status. Same goes for the Chinese desire to seek energy corridor from the middle east through Pakistan. The Chinese persistance is but a question of credibility it seems for which they have to remain engaged with their Pakistanis partners hence the projects they are in to already will be sustained by them with a perespective towards the distant future.
> The Sino-Pak relatioship is born out of necessasity and by far the most, the Chinese have the profitable edge so far when it comes to benefitting out of joint ventures like the Sandak copper project at Baluchistan or the magnaminius defence contracts the Chinese have with Pakistan. On the other hand the US is funding the Pakistani military machine and the government since decades with billions of dollars buying influence in the Pakistani power houses and soceity which is a far off goal for the Chinese administration owing to prevalent language, cultural and religious barriers between both the countries to begin with culminating on the huge budget difference between the USAID and the Chinese financial assistance towards Pakistan.
> The Chinese administration's inability or the lack of the same due to their communist manifest to understand and appeal the religious foundations of Pakistan is a divide deeper as much as the proclaimed friendship of both the countries. Serious Chinese efforts to understand and bridge this great divide is lacking at the moment it seems. On the other hand The US think tanks and operatives on ground are wise enough even here to portray and capatilize upon the religious freedom they offer to the Muslims living at the US homeland and the monolithic religoin appeal which binds the Christians and the Muslims in a bond togather. Irresepective of the post 9/11 Muslim hatred and at times sheer persecution of the Muslims by the US and allied nationals the US administration successfully highlighted the positives hiding the negatives in the Global War on Terror which followed the tragic incident.
> The Pakistani government is essentially under the US influences and only can divert towards the Chinese shores with limited latitude. The Chinese global economic might is directly propotional to the fiscal well being of the USA's economic health in which the the former is one of the biggest stake holder.
> The Chinese geopolitical position in the Asia is very sound indeed but it's power potentials yet have limitations to flex their muscles to the max keeping the US influences in the regoin. The geopolitical alliances like the SCO are a step towards the evident Chinese future designs but there potential will take decades to bloom to it's desired optimum level. The observer status which Pakistan holds on the specific forum ( SCO ) is countered by the Indian presence there.
These signs discussed above provides a certain basis for the predictions at best for what holds the future for the Sino-Pak relations and it's effects on the global power dynamics. The key points in this regard are as described below:-
> The Chinese will refrain from openly confronting the US strategy in South Asia for at least four to five decades to come. This will include opening any new military base at Pakistan or any strategic project. However the ongoing Sino-Pak military, technological, economic, cultural and associated relationship will continue growing owing to the vibrant history and physical attached boundaries between both the countries.
> The Sino-Pak partnership in opposition to the Indo-US alliance will grow even further and tit for tat attitudes will prevail due to the inherent Pakistani animosity towards the Indians and the Chinese regoinal hegimomic designs which directly confronts with the same designs of the Indians. The trade ties between India-Pakistan and China will however flourish and provide a respite in the nuclear loaded regoin of the world.
> The Sino-Pak relations will continue to grow however, with inherent limitations till the time the Chinese decide to ultimately flux their muscles in four to five decades time. At such a moment this bilateral partnership will be the most valuable and profitable investment by the Pakistanis ever since their inception six decades ago.
> The energy corridor as envisaged by the Pakistanis from their land uptill China may not materialize owing to the harsh terrain conditions but the Chinese will establish their strong foreign military presence at Pakistan to secure their interests in the middle eastern and south and south east asian regoins. Most likely deployment areas would be the Arabian Sea shores of Pakistan.
> The Chinese influence on the Pakistani power dynamics will grow further in decades to come with the US confronting each and every Chinese move here to retain the critical access to the energy rich central asian republics (CARs) corridor accessible most easily through Pakistan. Pakistan in the meantime will remain subserviant to the power politics of Both China and the US benefitting and paying the price of the clandestine activities related to such power struggles at the same time. The regoin will see futher turmoil mostly and less of peace and normal law and order situation in particular for the Afghanistan-Pakistan-CARs regoin.
> The Sino-Pak relationship will play a pivotal part in shaping the future power dynamics of Asian regoin in particular while resultantly effecting the global scenario in gereral in times to come. It may take as stated four to five decades but it is an "assesment of a novice" please do note who beleives in divine interventions..................................................................
> The Chinese although are a regoinal military and global economic power house but in no way matches the conventional military might of the sole super power they intend to compete. This difference needs atlest five decades to be bridged but by than the US Global Empire might have further advanced in these feilds. It's a tough race for the Chinese least to say and interstingly enough, they know it clearly where they stand. Considering this fact the US global enterprise is a tough nut to crack when they have decided to forestall the Chinese designs for a superpower status. Same goes for the Chinese desire to seek energy corridor from the middle east through Pakistan. The Chinese persistance is but a question of credibility it seems for which they have to remain engaged with their Pakistanis partners hence the projects they are in to already will be sustained by them with a perespective towards the distant future.
> The Sino-Pak relatioship is born out of necessasity and by far the most, the Chinese have the profitable edge so far when it comes to benefitting out of joint ventures like the Sandak copper project at Baluchistan or the magnaminius defence contracts the Chinese have with Pakistan. On the other hand the US is funding the Pakistani military machine and the government since decades with billions of dollars buying influence in the Pakistani power houses and soceity which is a far off goal for the Chinese administration owing to prevalent language, cultural and religious barriers between both the countries to begin with culminating on the huge budget difference between the USAID and the Chinese financial assistance towards Pakistan.
> The Chinese administration's inability or the lack of the same due to their communist manifest to understand and appeal the religious foundations of Pakistan is a divide deeper as much as the proclaimed friendship of both the countries. Serious Chinese efforts to understand and bridge this great divide is lacking at the moment it seems. On the other hand The US think tanks and operatives on ground are wise enough even here to portray and capatilize upon the religious freedom they offer to the Muslims living at the US homeland and the monolithic religoin appeal which binds the Christians and the Muslims in a bond togather. Irresepective of the post 9/11 Muslim hatred and at times sheer persecution of the Muslims by the US and allied nationals the US administration successfully highlighted the positives hiding the negatives in the Global War on Terror which followed the tragic incident.
> The Pakistani government is essentially under the US influences and only can divert towards the Chinese shores with limited latitude. The Chinese global economic might is directly propotional to the fiscal well being of the USA's economic health in which the the former is one of the biggest stake holder.
> The Chinese geopolitical position in the Asia is very sound indeed but it's power potentials yet have limitations to flex their muscles to the max keeping the US influences in the regoin. The geopolitical alliances like the SCO are a step towards the evident Chinese future designs but there potential will take decades to bloom to it's desired optimum level. The observer status which Pakistan holds on the specific forum ( SCO ) is countered by the Indian presence there.
These signs discussed above provides a certain basis for the predictions at best for what holds the future for the Sino-Pak relations and it's effects on the global power dynamics. The key points in this regard are as described below:-
> The Chinese will refrain from openly confronting the US strategy in South Asia for at least four to five decades to come. This will include opening any new military base at Pakistan or any strategic project. However the ongoing Sino-Pak military, technological, economic, cultural and associated relationship will continue growing owing to the vibrant history and physical attached boundaries between both the countries.
> The Sino-Pak partnership in opposition to the Indo-US alliance will grow even further and tit for tat attitudes will prevail due to the inherent Pakistani animosity towards the Indians and the Chinese regoinal hegimomic designs which directly confronts with the same designs of the Indians. The trade ties between India-Pakistan and China will however flourish and provide a respite in the nuclear loaded regoin of the world.
> The Sino-Pak relations will continue to grow however, with inherent limitations till the time the Chinese decide to ultimately flux their muscles in four to five decades time. At such a moment this bilateral partnership will be the most valuable and profitable investment by the Pakistanis ever since their inception six decades ago.
> The energy corridor as envisaged by the Pakistanis from their land uptill China may not materialize owing to the harsh terrain conditions but the Chinese will establish their strong foreign military presence at Pakistan to secure their interests in the middle eastern and south and south east asian regoins. Most likely deployment areas would be the Arabian Sea shores of Pakistan.
> The Chinese influence on the Pakistani power dynamics will grow further in decades to come with the US confronting each and every Chinese move here to retain the critical access to the energy rich central asian republics (CARs) corridor accessible most easily through Pakistan. Pakistan in the meantime will remain subserviant to the power politics of Both China and the US benefitting and paying the price of the clandestine activities related to such power struggles at the same time. The regoin will see futher turmoil mostly and less of peace and normal law and order situation in particular for the Afghanistan-Pakistan-CARs regoin.
> The Sino-Pak relationship will play a pivotal part in shaping the future power dynamics of Asian regoin in particular while resultantly effecting the global scenario in gereral in times to come. It may take as stated four to five decades but it is an "assesment of a novice" please do note who beleives in divine interventions..................................................................
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