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Thursday 19 July 2012

Effects of The Sino-Pak Relations On Global Power Dynamics- (Proceedings)

There is a group of pakistani observers, mostly US educated and at Pakistan inspired  by the western values who beleive that the Chinese rise to power will see the demise or disaster  of all it's neighbouring countries including Pakistan. The most intellectual prediction they come up with while their drawing room/personal discussions is the fear that the future Chinese Nation brought up under the one child policy will become the reson for such a disaster. As per their observations the Chinese generation being brought up under this specific policy are over pempered by their families being their only child and are not learning how to share while they grow. This breed as per them due to the stated reason, when come to age and in a decision making role will be ruthless and spread the Chinese hegmony with imputiny around the regoin and the globe. A view as such is valid to some extent, I agree, but not entirely credible. Firstly not all of this generation at China may turn out to meet the prediction by these analyst at Pakistan and in the west. Secondly this policy of one child per couple at the PRC may not remain forever. Lastly even if the worst fears of this group advocating such a scnerio comes true, the Pakistani nation while continuing this present relatioship will be most likely the partners in the Chinese rise or hegmony and least likely an opponent or a hurdle for the Chinese.

Another very frequently quoted abnormality in this  bilateral relationship as per the same above discussed group is the difference of faiths ( religons ) or the abscence of the same in China replaced with their brand of Socialism as the way of living rather than Islam at Pakistan as the guiding priciple ruling the lives of the masses. The very assumption of this comparison while trying to associate the Muslims with their Christians counterparts hence the west ignores the capatilist system the Christian/Western soceities are based upon which is a complete contradiction to Islam. In this regard the socialistic policies of China bears more resemblence to the basic way of socioeconimc lifestyle as per Islam. Language barrier between both the countries is a major issue recognized and being worked upon by both sides. While English is a common language of both the countires for communication for the majority including a teaching medium for professional studies at China for the Pakistani students, real time fast paced efforts are successfully underway for training both countries young professionals in learning each other's languages. China has as usual taken the lead in this aspect as well with thousands of Chinese Urdu speakind diplomats and corporate officials deputed at both the countries. The Chinese official broadcaster "Radio China" runs a regular Urdu service as well. At Pakistan's National University of Modern Languages (NUML), the Chinese department is the biggest with maximum number of students in the university.

The ongoing commitment as displayed by the Chinese and Pakistanis in enduring the Sino-Pak friendship is beyond doubt as the following facts suggest:-

> Over 500 Chinese nationals have been killed/abducted at Pakistan(where more than 10000 Chinese professionals are at work, highest numbers of foreigner professionals at Pakistan from any country) by militant groups traced to be operating from Afghanistan in recent past linked with certain foreign intelligence agencies. The Chinese while waiting to actively confront these groups have instead replenished their manpower and showed an enduring commitment to the projects they are working upon in Pakistan.

> Pakistan irrespective of US pressure and displeasure consult their Chinese partners before taking any major strategic decision effecting the regoin. The first step for any Pakistani Leader before embarking upon a tough ride is to seek assurance from Chinese Leadership for their advice and support as evident from the most recent exchanges of highest level dignitaries of both countries. In this way Pakistan's foreign policy is greatly influenced by Chinese designs and aspirations much per the liking of the grassroot public at Pakistan. US influences on Pakistan's foreign policy are a fact but a matter of enforced obedienc through the web of the debt cycle and US dollars in aid so desperately required for the repayments of their loans. The policies enforced by the US global empire thus are hated and seen with disgust by the Pakistani public.  Hence the turn towards China is more democratic and fast paced than before at Pakistan in their deep desire for a global partner other than US as famously desired by President Ayub Khan of Pakistan while writing his book, "Friends Not Masters".

> Pakistan's role in the regoin based upon it's geostrategic location is a prime asset for the Chinese in times to come after the US/NATO disengagement from Afghanistan. At present the Chinese official presence at Pakistan is one of the largest anywhere abroad mainland China and is increasing by the day.

> The Chinese aspirations in partnership with the Russians to see SCO (Shangai Cooperation Organizatio) as a major global player in particular at the CAR (Central Asian Regoin/Republics) in future scenario needs the active participation by Pakistan in which they are happy to oblige. The visit by Chinese foreign minister and the Russian head of foreign policy for the CAR to Islamabad most recently is the link of the same ongoing process.

> The large number of Pakistani students at the Chinese universities and their ever increasing figures is an indication regarding the future of this bilateral relationship and the resultant effects on the regoinal/global power dynamics. The uniqueness of this relatioship is based upon the public support of both the country's youth which holds the key to the future of these ties.

> The joint military exercises between China and Pakistan are forming to be a regular training feature of both the countries armed forces. This cooperation coupled with the high tech military hardware joint ventures between both partners indicate towards "what holds the future" for this partnership. The two militaries combined together presents the most formidable nuclear armed force in Asia and globally which can physically influence or threat to do so in the diverse Asian regoin, in particular South Asia and the CAR at any given time.

> The Chinese space programe which also actively aid and support the same of Pakistan is helping Pakistan launch their indigenous sattellites in the space. The programe is by far and most a success at huge magnitude compared with that of India, whose communication sattellite to their embarresment was found  in the Indian Ocean while the Indian media was bussy reporting viewing "sharks in sea water at some distant planet" by the same sattellite. The effect of this technological cooperation and cooperation in the feild of sophisticated weaponary not only make both China and more so Pakistan interdependent on each other in times to come but also strenghten the military-econmic complex and their influence in the Asian regoin in near future leading to the global canvas in time.

> The Sino-Pak relations in the economic field are more pronounced than ever before in the proceeding bilateral business scenario. With China being the "factory of the world" it is pakistan importing the bulk of it's needs at most affordable rates from China. Chinese are benefitting from the huge copper deposits at Pakistan they have the contract to explore and share the earnings with Pakistan. This unique physical access in an ongoing project is not granted so far to any other foreign country by the Pakistanis. Independent sources reveal the presence of such rare minerals at pakistan to be one of the biggest unexplored reserves in the world. It is hence, in the Chinese interset to remain engaged in the regoin for yet another benefit.

In the fourth and final article of this series we will look into the future prospects of this bilateral relation and it's impact on the regoinal and subsequently global power dynamics and discuss in detail as to "what holds the future".....................   

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