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Saturday 23 February 2013

The Game Changer-Chinese Takeover of Gawader Port-Regional/Global Impact

The strategic move of the Chinese takeover of Gawader deep Sea port of Pakistan is not a surprise for the Pakistanis but have stunned many around the globe. This move indicates the breaking of the protective shell China was under while focusing on internal growth. This move indicates the fluxing of Chinese muscles at the regional geopolitics effecting the global balance of power. This move combined with the change of Chinese leadership indicates the paradigm shift in Chinese strategy and doctrine being rightly hyped around the globe as a game changer. The move have made many a stomach churned in India, UAE, Iran and to a graet extent left a very bad taste in the mouth of the Americans.


                                    Signing Ceremony of Gawader Deep Sea Port                                                 

While Pakistanis retaining the ownership rights of the Gawader deep sea port, the Chinese acquired the complete operational control of the Gawader port which they financed to be constructed in the first place.

The strategic importance of Gawader as a deep sea port and it's geographical disposition allows the Chinese to physically influence the critical global energy corridor emerging from the middle east via the strait of Hormuz and also affords them a forward listening post for all US military activities in the Middle East. This necessisitates the Peaple's Republic of China to fortify their position at Gawader which will by default benefit Pakistan with the further developement of the Gawader Deep Sea Port as a commercial hub for the reigon. This scenario directly undermines Dubai' port having much shallower waters taking away the business from them towards the deep sea port secured by the Chinese military might and providing direct access to the land locked Central Asian Reigon and beyond. The presence of the Chiese Navy which is already present at the Pakistani port of Karachi engulfs not only the Indian hegomonic designs for the reigon but also presents a potent physical military threat for the US-Indo alliance and starategy for the reigon. The Chinese have already successfully broken the Indian clout over Nepal and Bangladesh while establishing strong military ties with Sri Lanka like they have with Pakistan. The Indians rightly feels threatened and backed by the US support are hence all out fomenting a wave of terror inside Pakistan. Iran while on the other hand is also a direct effectee in this scenario as the commercial value of their port of Chahbahar is undermined by Gawader getting a great chunk of the bussiness. However, with the current Pak-Iran gas pipeline deal and the US opposition to Gawader and in case the Gawader project succeeds in total which will directly break the US influence/clout in the reigon, Islamic Republic of Iran, it seems is willing to compromise and not hinder the Gawader game plan and Sino-Pak designs. 

                                  Quetta Mascare of the Shia Muslims through Bomb Blasts

The responce of the affected states through their clandestine services is already in place since long before, and clearly visible on ground in recent incidents across Pakistan in particular it's Baluchistan province. It's cruel, ugly and down right disgusting, but then all is fair in war. The UAE bankrolled US supported Indian trained Baluch mercenaries and terrorists are all out to break the very integration of Pakistan through insurgency and trying to create Syria and Iraq like sectarian divide in Pakistan. The terror attacks of the so called Baluchistan Liberation Army in Pakistan and the mindless killing of hundereds of Shitte Muslims at Quetta nd Karachi is a prelude to the planned sequel of terror these States are unleashing onto Pakistan in order to stop the Sino-Pak rightfull designs for Gawader and the reigon. These hostile acts are targetting not only Pakistan's provinces of Baluchistan, metroplois of Karachi, the Gilgit-Baltistan province, the gateway to China but also the province of Xingjuang at China. Both the Pakistanis and Chinese governments understands and comprehend the frustating situation and much to the dismay of the hostile states,the general population of Pakistan who are the frontline target of this mindless killing spree acknowledges and understands the role of the above mentioned hostile actors in actual as well.

Time and patience of the Pakistanis is running out fast and it is only a matter of months that the fallback of this mindless terror mess unleashed upon Pakistan will be responded in kind where India will be on the receiving end. The Indian state does not possess the punishment taking potential that of Pakistan as is clearly evident once it comes to the clandestine terror attacks and killing of thousands of civillian population. The economic effects and the political fallout of the burn back of the dangrous games India is currently playing will be devastating and unprecedented for India.

The PRC for the first time ever in it's independent history is flexing it's muscles beyond immediate borders with the Gawader take over. For the Chinese it's not only a question of the critical energy corridor for their economy  and the strategic influence over the reigon but that of credibility and repute as a global power directly linked to the success or faliure of Gawader venture. The situation hence imposes upon the Chinese a level of commitment and efforts of highest degree. China has historically proven to be a dedicated ally of Pakistan against all odds. The Gawader episode is yet another feather in the cap of Sino-Pak starategic alliance with China leading the way towards global domination and realization of the eastern bloc's  dream of bipolar world once again.

With the upcoming withdrawl of the US military from Afghanistan, India will loose the edge in the game of insugency at Pakistan it is controlling from the US bases at Afganistan. Chinese and Pakistanis exactly know this and are awaiting for such an appropriate time to strike back as discreetly and in an equal clandestine manner the Indians intelligence agencies played their part in the light of the teachings of their political philospher , Chankiya. At that time the Indians won't be able to complain while they will reap what they are sowing at the moment. The ability of Pakistani population to so far sustain the naked wave of terror by the hostile sponsored elements shamefully unleashed upon them together with the weak resolve of the hostile mercenaries, the deep rooted Chinese commitment towards Pakistan, and the ability of Pakistani fifth columnists to strike deep within India without any credible hinderance should be a cause of serious concern for New Delhi. After all, the US is not here to stay for ever and eventualy will wear out either due to sustainability issue or due to the geograhical constraints historically faced by alike colonial Powers. While Pakistan and China are here to stay in this neighbourhood for good. The Indian efforts of becoming the US emmissaries for the region will be seriously at stake with the emergence of China on the global scenario as an equal Power to that of USA. The UAE and it's plastic growth will be surely adversely effected in times to come as and when Gawader and the ports of  Oman are fully developed. The US can only delay but most unlikely is to stop the Gawader developement and the rise of the Sino-Pak strategic alliance to take off and for China to emerge as an equal global power at par with the capibility and clout which only US currently enjoys.

Gawader is as such the first step towards the direction of China emerging out of their slumbring silence and taking hold of their rightfull place on the global geopolitical stage. The likes of  India and nation states hostile to this Sino-Pak venture are most likely to bite the dust and either mend their fences with Pakistan or pay a heavy price for their current misadventures. The only question is? could they......................